Casper Ruud and Matteo Arnaldi will face off in the quarter of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on PISTA RAFA NADAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.35
Matteo Arnaldi -> 3.22
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Arnaldi won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in 2023.
Highlights Matteo Arnaldi vs Casper Ruud – Madrid 28-April-2023
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-8 | 17-5 | 13-3 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Ruud reached the quarter after beating Alexandre Muller 6-3 6-4 and Jordan Thompson 6-1 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Thompson (6-1 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 59 points vs Thompson’s 36. The Norwegian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Casper Ruud was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 85% (11/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ruud broke Thompson 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Casper hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (379-200). 8-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ruud has a compiled 220-97 record in the last years on clay.
Ruud’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Los Cabos, Acapulco and Carlo.
The Norwegian has a composed 26-7 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-11 | 10-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 40, Matteo reached the quarter after beating Arthur Cazaux 5-5 ret., Sebastian Baez 5-7 7-68 6-2 and Marco Trungelliti 6-3 6-0.
In the 3rd round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Trungelliti (6-3 6-0). During the match Arnaldi scored 68 points vs Trungelliti’s 41. Arnaldi was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi managed to score 2 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matteo Arnaldi was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (22/26) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Trungelliti 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Arnaldi has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Italian has a composed 13-9 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 58 |
| Pts | 130-91 | 221-183 |
| Total Points | 221 | 404 |
| Winners | 48 | 76 |
| %Winners | 37% | 34% |
Ruud played 2 matches while Arnaldi competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi dropped 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t lost a set so far. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Arnaldi (4 vs 7). Therefore, Ruud played 22 games less than Arnaldi. The Norwegian scored 48 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 76 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 62/101 | 102/182 |
| %1st in | 61% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 48/62 | 76/102 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 23/39 | 38/80 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 48% |
Ruud struck 4 aces (2 per match). Arnaldi scored 16 aces (5.3 per match). Ruud won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 12/32 |
| % Converted | 41% | 38% |
| Conceded | 10 | 15 |
| Saved | 7 | 8 |
| % Saved | 70% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Casper broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Ruud lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 12 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | ||||
| R2 Muller |
R3 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 36 | |
| pts | 71-55 | 59-36 | 130-91 | |
| Total points | 126 | 95 | 221 | |
| Winners | 22 | 26 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 44% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/56 | 32/45 | 62/101 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 71% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 26/32 | 48/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 81% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 11/13 | 23/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 85% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 3/6 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 2/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 100% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Arnaldi | |||||
| R1 Cazaux |
R2 Baez |
R3 Trungelliti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-5 ret. | 5-7 7-68 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 33 | 15 | 58 | |
| pts | 39-36 | 114-106 | 68-41 | 221-183 | |
| Total points | 75 | 220 | 109 | 404 | |
| Winners | 17 | 37 | 22 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 32% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 11 | 2 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 24/40 | 52/95 | 26/47 | 102/182 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 55% | 55% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 17/24 | 37/52 | 22/26 | 76/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | 85% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/16 | 19/43 | 14/21 | 38/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 31% | 44% | 67% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 6/16 | 4/14 | 12/32 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 38% | 29% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 1 | 15 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 1/6 | 1/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 17% | 100% | 96% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LWLWWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Barcelona
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