Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev will clash against each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.189
Andrey Rublev -> 4.75
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 7-5 6-2 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev – Nitto atp finals 15-November-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-5 | 13-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard reached the quarter after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-1, Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-3 6-3 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-75 7-64.
In the 4th round, Carlos defeated Struff (6-3 6-75 7-64). During the match, Alcaraz scored 119 points vs Struff’s 115. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 63% of his first serves in, winning 59% (49/83) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (33/48) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Struff 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (251-67). 5-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a compiled129-33 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.
Carlos has an aggregate 18-4 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-9 | 13-5 | 7-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Russian got to the quarter after beating Facundo Bagnis 6-1 6-4, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-610 6-4 and Tallon Griekspoor 6-2 6-4.
In the 4th round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-2 6-4). During the match Rublev scored 60 points vs Griekspoor’s 40. Andrey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Rublev bagged 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Andrey Rublev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 77% of his first serves in, win 97% (32/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (4/10) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Griekspoor 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Hong Kong where he defeated Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Russian has an aggregate 18-8 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 58 |
| Pts | 242-192 | 222-173 |
| Total Points | 434 | 395 |
| Winners | 93 | 98 |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% |
Both Alcaraz and Rublev played 3 matches. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set more than Rublev (7 vs 6). Therefore, Alcaraz played 10 games more than Rublev. Alcaraz scored 93 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Andrey managed to score 98 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 140/215 | 128/178 |
| %1st in | 65% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 93/140 | 98/128 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 47/75 | 30/50 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 60% |
Alcaraz fired 6 aces (2 per match). Rublev fired 18 aces (6 per match). Alcaraz won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 9 |
| Converted | 14/23 | 9/24 |
| % Converted | 61% | 38% |
| Conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Saved | 10 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 14 times with a 61% conversion rate. Carlos lost his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Rublev conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R2 Shevchenko |
R3 Seyboth |
R4 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-75 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 | 35 | 68 | |
| pts | 59-34 | 64-43 | 119-115 | 242-192 | |
| Total points | 93 | 107 | 234 | 434 | |
| Winners | 17 | 27 | 49 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 42% | 41% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 26/38 | 31/46 | 83/131 | 140/215 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 63% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 17/26 | 27/31 | 49/83 | 93/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 87% | 59% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/15 | 33/48 | 47/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 69% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 4/6 | 3/6 | 14/23 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 67% | 50% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 8/10 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 80% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Rublev | |||||
| R2 Bagnis |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
R4 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 7-610 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 23 | 18 | 58 | |
| pts | 76-58 | 86-75 | 60-40 | 222-173 | |
| Total points | 134 | 161 | 100 | 395 | |
| Winners | 28 | 38 | 32 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 53% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 40/60 | 55/75 | 33/43 | 128/178 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 73% | 77% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 38/55 | 32/33 | 98/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 69% | 97% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 15/20 | 4/10 | 30/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 75% | 40% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/7 | 3/7 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 29% | 43% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 0 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 83% | – | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWW
LWWWWWWWLL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (5-7 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (6-1 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Jakub MensikMensik (6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-77 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger RuneRune (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-610 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-2) – H2H and prediction
