Jannik Sinner and Karen Khachanov will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 6:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.124
Karen Khachanov -> 6.15
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Karen Khachanov clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 6-4 7-5 6-3 in the 4th round in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Karen Khachanov – Australian Open 21-January-2024
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-2 | 17-1 | 6-1 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Italian reached the 4th round after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-0 6-3 and Pavel Kotov 6-2 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Kotov (6-2 7-5). During the match, Sinner scored 66 points vs Kotov’s 52. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner managed to score 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 67% of his first serves in, winning 71% (27/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Sinner broke Kotov 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 72% of his matches (300-115). 5-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed79-37 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1.
Sinner has a compiled 27-2 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-9 | 10-5 | 7-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-15 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, the Russian reached the 4th round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 3-6 6-3 7-5 and Flavio Cobolli 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (7-5 6-4). During the match Khachanov scored 74 points vs Cobolli’s 56. Karen was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Khachanov bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karen Khachanov was pretty effective on serve to win 89% (34/38) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Cobolli twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karen has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Doha where he overcame Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4.
Karen has an overall 17-7 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 52 |
| Pts | 122-82 | 164-141 |
| Total Points | 204 | 305 |
| Winners | 52 | 75 |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% |
Both Sinner and Khachanov played 2 matches. At the moment, Karen Khachanov lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Khachanov (4 vs 5). Therefore, Sinner played 17 games less than Khachanov. Jannik scored 52 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Khachanov bagged 75 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 67/99 | 93/143 |
| %1st in | 68% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 52/67 | 75/93 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 30/50 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 60% |
Sinner managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Khachanov scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Sinner won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 4 |
| Converted | 10/20 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 50% | 80% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Sinner broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Khachanov broke his opponents 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Karen conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||
| R2 Sonego |
R3 Kotov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 35 | |
| pts | 56-30 | 66-52 | 122-82 | |
| Total points | 86 | 118 | 204 | |
| Winners | 25 | 27 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 29/42 | 38/57 | 67/99 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 27/38 | 52/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 71% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 9/19 | 17/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 47% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/13 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 46% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Khachanov | ||||
| R2 Bautista-Agut |
R3 Cobolli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 22 | 52 | |
| pts | 90-85 | 74-56 | 164-141 | |
| Total points | 175 | 130 | 305 | |
| Winners | 41 | 34 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 55/85 | 38/58 | 93/143 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 41/55 | 34/38 | 75/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 89% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 11/20 | 30/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 55% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/3 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 67% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWWW
LWWLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (6-1 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Jakub MensikMensik (6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (5-7 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-77 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-610 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger RuneRune (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander BublikBublik (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
