Matteo Arnaldi and Marco Trungelliti will play each other in the 3rd round of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on PISTA ANDRES GIMENO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.3
Marco Trungelliti -> 3.54
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Marco Trungelliti
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Marco Trungelliti fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Arnaldi won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the semifinal in the Murcia Challenger back in 2023.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-11 | 10-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 40, Arnaldi reached the 3rd round after beating Arthur Cazaux 5-5 ret. and Sebastian Baez 5-7 7-68 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Baez, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-68 6-2). During the match, Arnaldi scored 114 points vs Baez’s 106. Arnaldi was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaldi managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 5 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 55% of his first serves in, winning 71% (37/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (19/43) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Baez 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Arnaldi has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (199-117). 2-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has an aggregate117-56 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Matteo has a composed 12-9 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Marco Trungelliti
22 - 8win/loss
169
112
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-9 | 5-4 | 16-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 7-8 | 30-19 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-16 | 4-3 | 16-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-16 | 4-2 | 20-11 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-17 | 5-2 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, Trungelliti reached the 3rd round after defeating Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 5-7 6-4, Gianluca Mager 6-3 6-1, Duje Ajdukovic 6-2 7-63 and Nicolas Jarry 7-65 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Jarry (7-65 6-3). During the match Trungelliti scored 80 points vs Jarry’s 72. Trungelliti was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Trungelliti scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Marco Trungelliti was very effective on serve to win 77% (41/53) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marco broke Jarry once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marco started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Kigali 2 Challenger where he defeated Clement Tabur in the final 6-4 6-2.
Trungelliti has an overall 22-8 win-loss record in 2024, 16-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 90 |
| Pts | 153-142 | 307-252 |
| Total Points | 295 | 559 |
| Winners | 54 | 127 |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% |
Arnaldi played 2 matches while Trungelliti competed in 4 matches. Trungelliti started his run from the qualifications while Arnaldi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi conceded 1 set, while Marco Trungelliti conceded 1 set. Arnaldi has played 4 set(s) less than Trungelliti (5 vs 9). Therefore, Arnaldi played 47 games less than Trungelliti. Matteo scored 54 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Trungelliti blasted 127 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 76/135 | 171/288 |
| %1st in | 56% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 54/76 | 127/171 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 24/59 | 62/117 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 53% |
Arnaldi bagged 14 aces (7 per match). Trungelliti made 10 aces (2.5 per match). Arnaldi won 71% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Trungelliti won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 15 |
| Converted | 8/18 | 15/23 |
| % Converted | 44% | 65% |
| Conceded | 14 | 23 |
| Saved | 7 | 16 |
| % Saved | 50% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
Arnaldi broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Marco broke his opponents 15 times with a 65% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R1 Cazaux |
R2 Baez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-5 ret. | 5-7 7-68 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 33 | 43 | |
| pts | 39-36 | 114-106 | 153-142 | |
| Total points | 75 | 220 | 295 | |
| Winners | 17 | 37 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 32% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 11 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 9 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 24/40 | 52/95 | 76/135 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 55% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 17/24 | 37/52 | 54/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/16 | 19/43 | 24/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 31% | 44% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 6/16 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 38% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 1/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 17% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Trungelliti | ||||||
| Q1 Llamas |
Q3 Mager |
R1 Ajdukovic |
R2 Jarry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 5-7 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 7-63 | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 90 | |
| pts | 103-90 | 55-31 | 69-59 | 80-72 | 307-252 | |
| Total points | 193 | 86 | 128 | 152 | 559 | |
| Winners | 36 | 19 | 31 | 41 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | 45% | 51% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 48/92 | 25/45 | 45/65 | 53/86 | 171/288 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 56% | 69% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 36/48 | 19/25 | 31/45 | 41/53 | 127/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 76% | 69% | 77% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/44 | 13/20 | 13/20 | 17/33 | 62/117 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 65% | 65% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 5/7 | 3/6 | 1/3 | 15/23 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 71% | 50% | 33% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 23 | |
| Saved | 7/12 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 4/4 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWLLWW
LWWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Barcelona
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rafael NadalNadal (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Tomas MachacMachac (w/o) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-0 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Harold MayotMayot (7-63 6-76 ret.) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Sebastian BaezBaez (5-7 7-68 6-2) – See score progression
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Nick HardtHardt (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-0 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rafael NadalNadal (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
