Roberto Carballes Baena and Pavel Kotov will play each other in the semifinal of the Grand Prix Hassan II for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Carballes Baena who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roberto Carballes Baena is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.56
Pavel Kotov -> 2.44
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Pavel Kotov
This will be the 2nd time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Pavel Kotov square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Carballes Baena won 5-7 7-6(5) 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Madrid Challenger back in 2022.
Roberto Carballes Baena
8 - 9win/loss
68
49
LWLWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-12 | 4-5 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-18 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 64, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after defeating Matteo Gigante 6-2 2-0 ret., Daniel Evans 6-4 7-63 and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 6-4 4-6 6-4.
In the quarter, Roberto defeated Moreno De Alboran (6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 97 points vs Moreno De Alboran’s 85. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carballes Baena scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Roberto Carballes Baena was very efficient on serve to win 76% (45/59) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Roberto broke Moreno De Alboran twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Roberto has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Carballes Baena has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (353-279). 4-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Carballes Baena has an overall 305-200 match record in the last years on clay.
Carballes Baena has a compiled 8-9 win-loss record in 2024, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marrakech
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-9 | 4-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 68, Pavel reached the semifinal after beating Elliot Benchetrit 7-5 6-3, Flavio Cobolli 6-1 7-65 and Fabio Fognini 6-1 6-2.
In the quarter, Pavel had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-1 6-2). During the match Kotov scored 62 points vs Fognini’s 38. Kotov was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Kotov blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pavel Kotov conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 74% of his first serves in, winning 86% (32/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 31% (4/13) on the 2nd serve. Kotov broke Fognini 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pavel hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Kotov has an overall 7-6 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marrakech
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carballes Baena | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 56 |
| Pts | 223-183 | 218-166 |
| Total Points | 406 | 384 |
| Winners | 98 | 99 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Both Carballes Baena and Kotov played 3 matches. At the moment, Roberto Carballes Baena surrendered 1 set while Pavel Kotov hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Carballes Baena has played 2 sets more than Kotov (8 vs 6). Therefore, Carballes Baena played 7 games more than Kotov. Carballes Baena scored 98 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Kotov blasted 99 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carballes Baena | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 130/189 | 135/198 |
| %1st in | 69% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 98/130 | 99/135 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 36/59 | 33/63 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 52% |
Carballes Baena fired 4 aces (1.3 per match). Kotov bagged 6 aces (2 per match). Carballes Baena won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carballes Baena | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/26 | 11/21 |
| % Converted | 27% | 52% |
| Conceded | 8 | 15 |
| Saved | 6 | 13 |
| % Saved | 75% | 87% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Carballes Baena broke his opponents 7 times with a 27% conversion rate. Carballes Baena conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Pavel broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carballes Baena | |||||
| R1 Gigante |
R2 Evans |
1/4 Moreno De Alboran |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-0 ret. | 6-4 7-63 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 23 | 30 | 63 | |
| pts | 41-22 | 85-76 | 97-85 | 223-183 | |
| Total points | 63 | 161 | 182 | 406 | |
| Winners | 12 | 41 | 45 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 48% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 14/25 | 57/83 | 59/81 | 130/189 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 69% | 73% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 12/14 | 41/57 | 45/59 | 98/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 72% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 14/26 | 14/22 | 36/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 54% | 64% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/8 | 2/9 | 7/26 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 22% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/7 | 0/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 86% | 0% | 29% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Kotov | |||||
| R1 Benchetrit |
R2 Cobolli |
1/4 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-1 7-65 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | 15 | 56 | |
| pts | 79-60 | 77-68 | 62-38 | 218-166 | |
| Total points | 139 | 145 | 100 | 384 | |
| Winners | 27 | 40 | 32 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 52% | 52% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/61 | 57/87 | 37/50 | 135/198 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 66% | 74% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/41 | 40/57 | 32/37 | 99/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 70% | 86% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 16/30 | 4/13 | 33/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 53% | 31% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 40% | 80% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 7/7 | 3/3 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 100% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWWW
LWWLLWWWLL Tennis Scores in Marrakech
- Pavel KotovKotov – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-1) – H2H and prediction
