Ekaterina Alexandrova and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on COURT 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is the pick to win this match.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -> 1.58
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
This will be the 3rd time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Pavlyuchenkova won 6-2 7-5 in the quarter in Tokyo back in 2023.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-11 | 9-7 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-4 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Ekaterina got to the 3rd round after defeating Donna Vekic 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Vekic (6-3 6-4). During the match, Alexandrova scored 73 points vs Vekic’s 54. Ekaterina was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alexandrova struck 8 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 9 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 84% (38/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Alexandrova broke Vekic twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).
Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (310-199). 6-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Alexandrova has an overall 96-79 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Linz.
Alexandrova has a composed 9-7 win-loss record in 2024, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
17 - 8win/loss
22
11
WLWLWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-9 | 14-7 | 2-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-17 | 6-8 | 15-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-20 | 12-11 | 10-3 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Pavlyuchenkova reached the 3rd round after defeating Shelby Rogers 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Anastasia had a good straight sets win against Rogers (6-2 6-1). During the match Pavlyuchenkova scored 64 points vs Rogers’s 44. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Pavlyuchenkova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pavlyuchenkova put 68% of her first serves in, winning 61% (23/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Rogers 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Anastasia’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Linz and Doha.
Anastasia has a compiled 17-7 win-loss record in 2024, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2010 and 2011. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 |
| Pts | 73-54 | 64-44 |
| Total Points | 127 | 108 |
| Winners | 38 | 23 |
| %Winners | 52% | 36% |
Both Alexandrova and Pavlyuchenkova played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alexandrova and Pavlyuchenkova have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Alexandrova played 4 games more than Pavlyuchenkova. The Russian scored 38 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 23 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 1 |
| 1st in | 45/67 | 38/56 |
| %1st in | 67% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 23/38 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 11/18 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 61% |
Alexandrova recorded 8 aces . Pavlyuchenkova made 1 ace . Alexandrova won 84% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Pavlyuchenkova won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/4 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Saved | 9 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Russian broke her opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Ekaterina was rock solid on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 9 break points. The Russian broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | |||
| R2 Vekic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 73-54 | 73-54 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 45/67 | 45/67 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 38/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 9/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 9/9 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Pavlyuchenkova | |||
| R2 Rogers |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 64-44 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/56 | 38/56 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 23/38 | 23/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 11/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWWLL
WLWLWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 1-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysKeys – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 6-73 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yulia PutintsevaYulia – Greetje MinnenGreetje (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Oceane DodinDodin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
