Ashlyn Krueger and Sara Bejlek will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sara Bejlek who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sara Bejlek is the pick to win this match.
Sara Bejlek -> 1.88
Ashlyn Krueger -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Ashlyn Krueger vs. Sara Bejlek
This will be the 2nd time that Ashlyn Krueger and Sara Bejlek clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Krueger (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Krueger won 6-0 6-3 in the qualifications in Austin back in 2023.
Ashlyn Krueger
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-13 | 7-9 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-26 | 26-15 | 8-6 | 2-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 23-17 | 10-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-14 | 10-11 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 70, Ashlyn got to the 3rd round after defeating Nao Hibino 6-4 6-4 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Krueger had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (6-3 6-3). During the match, Krueger scored 68 points vs Alexandrova’s 44. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Krueger bagged 4 aces and she was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Ashlyn Krueger was quite effective on serve to win 73% (19/26) of her 1st serve and 90% (19/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Alexandrova 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.
Krueger has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 58% of her matches (117-85). 3-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Krueger has an overall27-18 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
Ashlyn has an aggregate 10-10 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Krueger has never competed in this tournament before.
Sara Bejlek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-6 | 5-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-19 | 6-5 | 36-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-15 | 7-5 | 27-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-9 | 0-0 | 18-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 136, Sara got to the 3rd round after defeating Yanina Wickmayer 6-1 6-4, Zhuoxuan Bai 6-4 1-6 6-3, Anna Blinkova 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Bejlek had a good straight sets win against Kalinskaya (6-1 6-4). During the match Bejlek scored 77 points vs Kalinskaya’s 60. Sara was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Bejlek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sara Bejlek lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Bejlek put 74% of her first serves in, winning 64% (35/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Bejlek broke Kalinskaya 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Sara has a composed 10-5 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Krueger | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 88 |
| Pts | 140-108 | 329-277 |
| Total Points | 248 | 606 |
| Winners | 46 | 138 |
| %Winners | 33% | 42% |
Krueger played 2 matches while Bejlek competed in 4 matches. Bejlek started her run from the qualifications while Krueger had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Sara Bejlek surrendered 2 sets while Ashlyn Krueger hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Krueger has played 6 set(s) less than Bejlek (4 vs 10). Therefore, Krueger played 50 games less than Bejlek. Krueger scored 46 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Bejlek scored 138 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Krueger | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0.8 |
| 1st in | 65/108 | 219/301 |
| %1st in | 60% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 46/65 | 138/219 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 28/43 | 42/82 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 51% |
Krueger recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Bejlek recorded 3 aces (0.8 per match). Krueger won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Bejlek won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Krueger | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 19 |
| Converted | 8/21 | 19/43 |
| % Converted | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded | 5 | 30 |
| Saved | 2 | 19 |
| % Saved | 40% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 11 |
Krueger broke her opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Krueger lost her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. Bejlek broke her opponents 19 times with a 44% conversion rate. Sara conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Krueger | ||||
| R1 Hibino |
R2 Alexandrova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 38 | |
| pts | 72-64 | 68-44 | 140-108 | |
| Total points | 136 | 112 | 248 | |
| Winners | 27 | 19 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 28% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 39/61 | 26/47 | 65/108 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 55% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 19/26 | 46/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 73% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 19/21 | 28/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 90% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/9 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 33% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 100% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Bejlek | ||||||
| Q1 Wickmayer |
Q3 Bai |
R1 Blinkova |
R2 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 88 | |
| pts | 63-42 | 82-76 | 107-99 | 77-60 | 329-277 | |
| Total points | 105 | 158 | 206 | 137 | 606 | |
| Winners | 25 | 37 | 41 | 35 | 138 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 45% | 38% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 30/49 | 59/79 | 75/99 | 55/74 | 219/301 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 75% | 76% | 74% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 37/59 | 41/75 | 35/55 | 138/219 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 63% | 55% | 64% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 10/20 | 12/24 | 8/19 | 42/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/6 | 7/19 | 5/12 | 19/43 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 37% | 42% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 30 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/6 | 8/13 | 8/10 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 62% | 80% | 138% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWWLL
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- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ons JabeurJabeur (2-2) – H2H and prediction
