H2H, prediction of Novak Djokovic vs Luca Nardi in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick | 11th March 2024

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Djokovic and Nardi will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Monday the 11th of March

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Luca Nardi

Novak Djokovic and Luca Nardi will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.024
Luca Nardi -> 13.25

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Luca Nardi

There is no head to head record between Novak Djokovic and Luca Nardi since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic

8 - 3win/loss

Hard
8-3
I Hard
0-0
Rank
6
High
1
LWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0
2020 41-5 26-1 11-1 4-3 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Djokovic reached the 3rd round after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-2 5-7 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Serbian defeated Vukic (6-2 5-7 6-3). During the match, Djokovic scored 98 points vs Vukic’s 78. Novak was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Djokovic struck 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (38/46) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Djokovic broke Vukic 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Djokovic has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (491-75). 8-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has an overall 229-29 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Djokovic’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .

Djokovic has a compiled 8-2 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Djokovic
Indian Wells
Djokovic's Record

Luca Nardi

Luca Nardi
Luca Nardi

9 - 6win/loss

Hard
9-5
I Hard
0-1
Rank
105
High
70
LLWWWWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 26-27 13-14 8-5 4-4 1-4 0-0
2023 41-36 20-10 8-13 12-12 1-1 0-0
2022 33-20 5-2 11-10 17-8 0-0 0-0
2021 33-24 3-3 26-13 4-8 0-0 0-0
2020 9-9 7-2 1-2 1-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 123, Nardi got to the 3rd round after beating Terence Atmane 6-4 6-0 and Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 3-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Nardi defeated Zhang (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match Nardi scored 93 points vs Zhang’s 75. Nardi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Nardi bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 64% of his first serves in, winning 84% (43/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Zhang 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luca started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Nardi’s best result of the current year was getting to the final the Chennai Challenger.

Luca has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2024, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Nardi
Indian Wells
Nardi's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
L.Nardi
2h:10
2h:10
Time on court​
3h:13
3h:13
!
2h:10
2h:10
Last match​
2h:00
2h:00
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
29
29
Games Played​
78
78
3
3
Set played​​
8
8
98
98
Total points​
160
160
98
98
Avg point​
53.3
53.3
38
38
Winners
60
60
38
38
Avg Winners​
20
20
39%
39%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
8
8
!
11
11
Avg Aces
2.7
2.7
5
5
Double Faults
4
4
5
5
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
38/46
38/46
1st won total​
60/77
60/77
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
16/30
16/30
2nd won total​
32/52
32/52
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
5/13
5/13
BP won
8/17
8/17
5/13
5/13
Avg BP won
2.7/5.7
2.7/5.7
38%
38%
Won
47%
47%
6
6
Conceded
11
11
6
6
Avg Conceded
3.7
3.7
2
2
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Nardi
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 5
Tot Games 29 43
Pts 98-78 160-116
Total Points 176 276
Winners 38 60
%Winners 39% 38%

Djokovic played 1 match while Nardi competed in 2 matches. Nardi started his run from the qualifications while Djokovic had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic lost 1 set, while Luca Nardi lost 1 set. Djokovic has played 2 set(s) less than Nardi (3 vs 5). Therefore, Djokovic played 14 games less than Nardi. Djokovic scored 38 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 60 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Nardi
Aces 11 8
Avg per match 11 4
1st in 46/76 77/129
%1st in 61% 60%
1st pts 38/46 60/77
%1st pts 83% 78%
2nd pts 16/30 32/52
%2nd pts 53% 62%

Djokovic struck 11 aces . Nardi fired 8 aces (4 per match). Djokovic won 83% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Nardi won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Nardi
Won 5 8
Converted 5/13 8/17
% Converted 38% 47%
Conceded 6 11
Saved 4 8
% Saved 67% 73%
Times Broken 2 3

The Serbian broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Novak dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Nardi broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Nardi conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R2
Vukic
Total
Score 6-2 5-7 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 98-78 98-78
Total points 176 176
Winners 38 38
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 11 11
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 46/76 46/76
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 38/46 38/46
% 1st pts 83% 83%
2nd pts 16/30 16/30
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/13 5/13
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Nardi
Q1
Atmane
Q3
Goffin
R2
Zhang
Total
Score 6-4 6-0 7-64 5-7 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 16 35 27 78
pts 67-41 93-75 160-116
Total points 108 0 168 276
Winners 17 43 60
%Winners 25% 0% 46% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 7 8
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 26/49 / 51/80 77/129
% 1st in 53% 0% 64% 60%
1st pts 17/26 / 43/51 60/77
% 1st pts 65% 0% 84% 78%
2nd pts 18/23 / 14/29 32/52
% 2nd pts 78% 0% 48% 62%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/12 / 3/5 8/17
Converted % 42% 0% 60% 47%
Conceded 4 7 11
Saved 3/4 0/ 5/7 8
Saved % 75% 71% 146%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
LWWWWWWLWW
Nardi
LLWWWWLLLL
2024 2023 2022
36 - 9
26 - 27
15-5
Hard
13-14
0-0
I Hard
4-4
16-3
Clay
8-5
5-1
Grass
1-4

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw