Federico Coria and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will square off in the semifinal of the Piracicaba Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.63
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 2.16
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
This will be the 3rd time that Federico Coria and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Coria (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Coria won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in the Guayaquil Challenger back in 2022.
Federico Coria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-34 | 0-3 | 43-30 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 103, Federico got to the semifinal after beating Renzo Olivo 6-1 7-5, Juan Bautista Torres 6-0 3-0 ret. and Gianluca Mager 6-0 4-6 6-3.
In the quarter, The Argentine defeated Mager (6-0 4-6 6-3). During the match, Coria scored 96 points vs Mager’s 77. Federico was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about the service games, Coria scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 80% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 28% (5/18) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Mager 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Coria has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Coria has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (406-259). 3-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coria has an aggregate 390-213 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Federico has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Piracicaba Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-27 | 0-1 | 38-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-25 | 1-3 | 19-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-29 | 1-3 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 13-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 343, matheus reached the semifinal after defeating Damien Wenger 6-2 6-4, Edoardo Lavagno 6-1 6-3 and Alexander Weis 7-63 7-64.
In the quarter, Pucinelli De Almeida had a good straight sets win against Weis (7-63 7-64). During the match Pucinelli De Almeida scored 81 points vs Weis’s 76. The Brazilian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Pucinelli De Almeida blasted 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 54% of his first serves in, winning 73% (33/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. Matheus broke Weis 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matheus hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Pucinelli De Almeida has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Piracicaba Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 60 |
| Pts | 223-165 | 206-168 |
| Total Points | 388 | 374 |
| Winners | 104 | 73 |
| %Winners | 47% | 35% |
Both Coria and Pucinelli De Almeida played 3 matches. At the moment, Federico Coria surrendered 1 set while Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida hasn’t dropped a set so far. Coria has played 2 sets more than Pucinelli De Almeida (8 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Coria played 7 games less than Pucinelli De Almeida. Federico scored 104 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Matheus blasted 73 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 0.7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 153/204 | 98/191 |
| %1st in | 75% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 104/153 | 73/98 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 24/51 | 47/93 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 51% |
Coria bagged 2 aces (0.7 per match). Pucinelli De Almeida scored 9 aces (3 per match). Coria won 68% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Pucinelli De Almeida won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 13 |
| Converted | 15/28 | 13/17 |
| % Converted | 54% | 76% |
| Conceded | 23 | 19 |
| Saved | 19 | 13 |
| % Saved | 83% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Coria broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Federico dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Matheus broke his opponents 13 times with a 76% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | |||||
| R1 Olivo |
R2 Bautista |
1/4 Mager |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-0 3-0 ret. | 6-0 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 9 | 25 | 53 | |
| pts | 81-61 | 46-27 | 96-77 | 223-165 | |
| Total points | 142 | 73 | 173 | 388 | |
| Winners | 33 | 21 | 50 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 46% | 52% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/71 | 29/41 | 74/92 | 153/204 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 71% | 80% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 33/50 | 21/29 | 50/74 | 104/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 72% | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 5/12 | 5/18 | 24/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 42% | 28% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/6 | 7/10 | 15/28 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 70% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4/4 | 11/14 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 79% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Pucinelli De Almeida | |||||
| R1 Wenger |
R2 Lavagno |
1/4 Weis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | 7-63 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 | 26 | 60 | |
| pts | 59-49 | 66-43 | 81-76 | 206-168 | |
| Total points | 108 | 109 | 157 | 374 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | 33 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 30% | 41% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 31/56 | 22/51 | 45/84 | 98/191 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 43% | 54% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 20/31 | 20/22 | 33/45 | 73/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 91% | 73% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 17/29 | 17/39 | 47/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 59% | 44% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 13/17 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 80% | 80% | 76% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 13 | 19 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/1 | 9/13 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 69% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
LLLWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Piracicaba Challenger
- Federico CoriaCoria – Gianluca MagerMager (6-0 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Kilian FeldbauschFeldbausch (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix GillGill – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-0 7-63) – See score progression
- Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida – Alexander WeisWeis (7-63 7-64) – See score progression
- Daniel Dutra Da Silva/Pedro SakamotoDutra Da Silva/Pedro Sakamoto – Mariano Kestelboim/Juan Bautista TorresKestelboim/Juan Bautista Torres (w/o) – See score progression
- Guido Andreozzi/Guillermo DuranAndreozzi/Guillermo Duran – Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo/Carlos TabernerSanchez-Izquierdo/Carlos Taberner (w/o) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico CoriaCoria – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (2-0) – H2H and prediction
