Elise Mertens and Marta Kostyuk will face off in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Kia Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.69
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.18
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 2nd time that Elise Mertens and Marta Kostyuk square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Mertens won 6-2 6-1 in the 2nd round in Indian Wells back in 2022.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-11 | 9-7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, Elise got to the 2nd round after beating Mayar Sherif 6-2 2-0 ret..
In the 1st round against Sherif, the Belgian had a free pass after Sherif retired on a 6-2 2-0 . scoreline.
Mertens has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (341-206). 6-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Mertens has a compiled 185-104 record in the last years on hard.
Elise’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Hobart.
Mertens has a compiled 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-8 | 15-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, Marta reached the 2nd round after beating Claire Liu 6-3 4-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Marta defeated Liu (6-3 4-6 6-1). During the match Kostyuk scored 86 points vs Liu’s 67. The Ukrainian was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 7 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 49% of her first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 62% (24/39) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Liu 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Marta has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018, 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 10 | 26 |
| Pts | 37-18 | 86-67 |
| Total Points | 55 | 153 |
| Winners | 12 | 26 |
| %Winners | 32% | 30% |
Both Mertens and Kostyuk played 1 match. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk surrendered 1 set while Elise Mertens hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Talking about their workload, Mertens and Kostyuk have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Mertens played 16 games less than Kostyuk. The Belgian scored 12 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Marta made 26 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
| 1st in | 15/29 | 38/77 |
| %1st in | 52% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 12/15 | 26/38 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 24/39 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 62% |
Mertens fired 1 ace . Kostyuk also made 1 ace . Mertens won 80% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/4 | 6/8 |
| % Converted | 75% | 75% |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Elise broke her opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Belgian very solid her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Ukrainian broke her opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Marta conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | |||
| R1 Sherif |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 10 | |
| pts | 37-18 | 37-18 | |
| Total points | 55 | 55 | |
| Winners | 12 | 12 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 15/29 | 15/29 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 12/15 | 12/15 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kostyuk | |||
| R1 Liu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 86-67 | 86-67 | |
| Total points | 153 | 153 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/77 | 38/77 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 26/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/39 | 24/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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