Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Andrea Pellegrino will face off in the semifinal of the Campinas Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on QUADRA JOAO LIMA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.666
Andrea Pellegrino -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Andrea Pellegrino
This will be the 3rd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Andrea Pellegrino fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pellegrino (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Pellegrino won 6-4 0-6 6-4 in the 1st round in the Lyon Challenger back in 2021.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-10 | 2-1 | 24-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 177, Ugo Carabelli reached the semifinal after beating Igor Gimenez 6-0 6-3, Guido Andreozzi 6-3 6-2 and Jose Pereira 4-6 6-1 6-1.
In the quarter against Pereira, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-1). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 81 points vs Pereira’s 66. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli recorded 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 53% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Pereira 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo Carabelli has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (281-163). 34-19 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has a composed254-139 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Antofagasta Challenger where he beat Tristan Boyer in the final 3-6 6-1 7-5.
Ugo Carabelli has a compiled 34-21 win-loss record in 2023, 34-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Andrea Pellegrino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-14 | 0-1 | 14-6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 191, Pellegrino got to the semifinal after beating Marco Trungelliti 6-4 1-0 ret., Jan Choinski 6-4 3-6 6-3 and Orlando Luz 6-3 0-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Pellegrino defeated Luz (6-3 0-6 6-3). During the match Pellegrino scored 79 points vs Luz’s 74. Andrea was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Pellegrino bagged 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 55% of his first serves in, winning 60% (26/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Andrea broke Luz 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrea has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger where he beat Dennis Novak in the final 1-6 7-6(5) 6-3.
The Italian has an aggregate 24-25 win-loss record in 2023, 22-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 63 |
| Pts | 219-160 | 221-192 |
| Total Points | 379 | 413 |
| Winners | 67 | 77 |
| %Winners | 31% | 35% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Pellegrino played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set, while Andrea Pellegrino surrendered 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 2 set(s) less than Pellegrino (7 vs 9). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 7 games less than Pellegrino. The Argentine scored 67 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 77 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 102/178 | 108/197 |
| %1st in | 57% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 67/102 | 77/108 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 37/76 | 48/89 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 54% |
Ugo Carabelli bagged 5 aces (1.7 per match). Pellegrino made 8 aces (2.7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 66% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 10 |
| Converted | 21/36 | 10/29 |
| % Converted | 58% | 34% |
| Conceded | 26 | 13 |
| Saved | 18 | 6 |
| % Saved | 69% | 46% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 7 |
Camilo broke his opponents 21 times with a 58% conversion rate. Camilo lost his serve 8 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Andrea broke his opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Gimenez |
R2 Andreozzi |
1/4 Pereira |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 24 | 56 | |
| pts | 63-35 | 75-59 | 81-66 | 219-160 | |
| Total points | 98 | 134 | 147 | 379 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | 25 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 28% | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 34/63 | 36/68 | 102/178 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 54% | 53% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/32 | 21/34 | 25/36 | 67/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 62% | 69% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 12/29 | 17/32 | 37/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 41% | 53% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 7/11 | 7/15 | 21/36 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 64% | 47% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 | 6 | 26 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 8/11 | 3/6 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 73% | 50% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Pellegrino | |||||
| R1 Trungelliti |
R2 Choinski |
1/4 Luz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-0 ret. | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-3 0-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 11 | 28 | 24 | 63 | |
| pts | 41-28 | 101-90 | 79-74 | 221-192 | |
| Total points | 69 | 191 | 153 | 413 | |
| Winners | 13 | 38 | 26 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 38% | 33% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 15/27 | 50/92 | 43/78 | 108/197 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 54% | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 13/15 | 38/50 | 26/43 | 77/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 76% | 60% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/12 | 22/42 | 17/35 | 48/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 52% | 49% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 3/11 | 5/10 | 10/29 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 27% | 50% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/5 | 3/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 38% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWWL
LWLLWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Campinas Challenger
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Hugo DellienDellien (6-75 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Orlando LuzLuz (6-3 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Jose PereiraPereira (4-6 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Guido Andreozzi/Guillermo DuranAndreozzi/Guillermo Duran – Gilbert Klier Junior/Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaKlier Junior/Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Hugo DellienDellien (6-7(5) 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (2-0) – H2H and prediction
