Yosuke Watanuki and Juncheng Shang will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Shanghai Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.75
Juncheng Shang -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Yosuke Watanuki vs. Juncheng Shang
This will be the 2nd time that Yosuke Watanuki and Juncheng Shang fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shang (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Shang won 7-6(1) 7-6(3) in the qualifications in Indian wells back in March 2023.
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 85 (career-high), the Japanese got to the semifinal after beating Alex Bolt 6-4 6-0, Mikalai Haliak 6-1 6-1 and Nam Hoang Ly 6-2 6-0.
In the quarter, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Hoang Ly (6-2 6-0). During the match, Watanuki scored 64 points vs Hoang Ly’s 34. Yousuke was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Watanuki blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Yosuke Watanuki was quite effective on serve to win 88% (23/26) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Yousuke broke Hoang Ly 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Watanuki hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 63% of the points he played.
Watanuki has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (210-130). 21-8 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Watanuki has an overall124-69 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Yousuke’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger,the Monterrey Challenger and the Stanford Challenger.
The Japanese has a compiled 34-17 win-loss record in 2023, 21-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shanghai Challenger
Yousuke has never competed in this tournament before.
Juncheng Shang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-8 | 9-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-23 | 21-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-24 | 17-8 | 15-10 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-5 | 6-3 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 178, Shang got to the semifinal after defeating Robert Strombachs 6-4 7-64, Dane Sweeny 6-4 6-3 and Lorenzo Giustino 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Shang had a good straight sets win against Giustino (6-1 6-4). During the match Shang scored 62 points vs Giustino’s 42. Shang was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Shang struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Juncheng Shang was quite efficient on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shang broke Giustino 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shang hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Chinese’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Chicago Challenger.
The Chinese has a composed 30-17 win-loss record in 2023, 20-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watanuki | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 59 |
| Pts | 196-116 | 207-162 |
| Total Points | 312 | 369 |
| Winners | 61 | 83 |
| %Winners | 31% | 40% |
Both Watanuki and Shang played 3 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Watanuki and Shang have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Watanuki played 15 games less than Shang. The Japanese scored 61 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese managed to score 83 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watanuki | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 7 |
| 1st in | 70/129 | 102/169 |
| %1st in | 54% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 61/70 | 83/102 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 33/59 | 43/67 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 64% |
Watanuki struck 18 aces (6 per match). Shang scored 21 aces (7 per match). Watanuki won 87% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Shang won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watanuki | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 8 |
| Converted | 15/35 | 8/20 |
| % Converted | 43% | 40% |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Saved | 7 | 4 |
| % Saved | 88% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Yousuke broke his opponents 15 times with a 43% conversion rate. Yousuke dropped his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Juncheng broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Juncheng conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Watanuki | |||||
| R1 Bolt |
R2 Haliak |
1/4 Hoang Ly |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 14 | 14 | 44 | |
| pts | 66-45 | 66-37 | 64-34 | 196-116 | |
| Total points | 111 | 103 | 98 | 312 | |
| Winners | 18 | 20 | 23 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 30% | 36% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 8 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 23/48 | 21/42 | 26/39 | 70/129 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 50% | 67% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 20/21 | 23/26 | 61/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 95% | 88% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 9/21 | 8/13 | 33/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 43% | 62% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 6/16 | 5/8 | 15/35 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 38% | 63% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shang | |||||
| R1 Strombachs |
R2 Sweeny |
1/4 Giustino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 19 | 17 | 59 | |
| pts | 82-71 | 63-49 | 62-42 | 207-162 | |
| Total points | 153 | 112 | 104 | 369 | |
| Winners | 38 | 17 | 28 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 27% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 5 | 4 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 49/73 | 19/45 | 34/51 | 102/169 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 42% | 67% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 38/49 | 17/19 | 28/34 | 83/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 89% | 82% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 16/26 | 10/17 | 43/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 62% | 59% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 4/9 | 3/6 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 44% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLL
LWLWWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Shanghai Challenger
- Christopher O’ConnellChristopher – Li TuLi (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
