Andrey Rublev and Taylor Fritz will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.58
Taylor Fritz -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Taylor Fritz
This will be the 9th time that Andrey Rublev and Taylor Fritz square off. The head to head is 5-3 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), but Rublev has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Fritz won 6-2 7-6(3) in the R in Laver cup back in 2023.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-9 | 13-5 | 7-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Rublev got to the semifinal after defeating Facundo Bagnis 6-1 6-4, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-610 6-4, Tallon Griekspoor 6-2 6-4 and Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter against Alcaraz, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Rublev scored 91 points vs Alcaraz’s 76. Rublev was quite aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 74% of his first serves in, winning 80% (51/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Alcaraz 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (409-228). 4-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has an aggregate 101-63 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Russian has an overall 19-8 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-9 | 11-5 | 10-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 11-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Taylor got to the semifinal after beating Luciano Darderi 7-61 6-4, Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-3, Hubert Hurkacz 7-62 6-4 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-1 3-6 6-3.
In the quarter, The American defeated Cerundolo (6-1 3-6 6-3). During the match Fritz scored 81 points vs Cerundolo’s 69. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Fritz struck 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Taylor Fritz lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Fritz put 61% of his first serves in, winning 83% (38/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Cerundolo 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fritz has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Delray Beach where he overcame Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3.
The American has an overall 19-7 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 88 |
| Pts | 313-249 | 283-223 |
| Total Points | 562 | 506 |
| Winners | 149 | 135 |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% |
Both Rublev and Fritz played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev dropped 1 set, while Taylor Fritz surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Fritz have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Rublev played 3 games less than Fritz. Rublev scored 149 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Fritz recorded 135 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 8.8 |
| 1st in | 192/264 | 158/237 |
| %1st in | 73% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 149/192 | 135/158 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 40/72 | 49/79 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 62% |
Rublev recorded 23 aces (5.8 per match). Fritz managed to score 35 aces (8.8 per match). Rublev won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Fritz won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 9 |
| Converted | 12/37 | 9/24 |
| % Converted | 32% | 38% |
| Conceded | 18 | 4 |
| Saved | 15 | 2 |
| % Saved | 83% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Rublev broke his opponents 12 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Taylor conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||||
| R2 Bagnis |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
R4 Griekspoor |
1/4 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 7-610 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 23 | 18 | 27 | 85 | |
| pts | 76-58 | 86-75 | 60-40 | 91-76 | 313-249 | |
| Total points | 134 | 161 | 100 | 167 | 562 | |
| Winners | 28 | 38 | 32 | 51 | 149 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 53% | 56% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 40/60 | 55/75 | 33/43 | 64/86 | 192/264 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 73% | 77% | 74% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 38/55 | 32/33 | 51/64 | 149/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 69% | 97% | 80% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 15/20 | 4/10 | 10/22 | 40/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 75% | 40% | 45% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/7 | 3/7 | 3/13 | 12/37 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 29% | 43% | 23% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 7/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 83% | – | 88% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Fritz | ||||||
| R2 Darderi |
R3 Baez |
R4 Hurkacz |
1/4 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-62 6-4 | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 17 | 23 | 25 | 88 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 59-38 | 74-59 | 81-69 | 283-223 | |
| Total points | 126 | 97 | 133 | 150 | 506 | |
| Winners | 33 | 29 | 35 | 38 | 135 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 49% | 47% | 47% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 34/44 | 40/61 | 46/75 | 158/237 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 77% | 66% | 61% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 29/34 | 35/40 | 38/46 | 135/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 85% | 88% | 83% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 7/10 | 16/21 | 14/29 | 49/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 70% | 76% | 48% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/7 | 1/5 | 3/6 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 20% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLL
LWWWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Sebastian Korda/Jordan ThompsonKorda/Jordan Thompson – Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Jamie Murray/Michael VenusMurray/Michael Venus – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (0-6 6-4 10-2) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski (4-6 6-2 16-14) – See score progression
- Ariel Behar/Adam PavlasekBehar/Adam Pavlasek – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (6-3 4-6 10-6) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Jannik SinnerSinner (w/o) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jannik SinnerSinner (w/o) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Andrey RublevRublev (5-3) – H2H and prediction
