Mathys Erhard and Luca Potenza will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Amersfoort Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on SCHOONDERBEEK COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathys Erhard who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mathys Erhard is the pick to win this match.
Mathys Erhard -> 1.51
Luca Potenza -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Mathys Erhard vs. Luca Potenza
There is no head to head record between Mathys Erhard and Luca Potenza since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Mathys Erhard
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 0-1 | 15-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-35 | 4-4 | 49-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-22 | 10-7 | 33-13 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 10-5 | 31-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-13 | 3-7 | 6-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 392, Mathys reached the qualifications after defeating Stijn Slump 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, Mathys had a good straight sets win against Slump (6-2 6-4). During the match, Erhard scored 57 points vs Slump’s 41. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Erhard fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Mathys Erhard was quite effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mathys broke Slump 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Erhard has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 60% of his matches (138-92). 26-18 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Erhard has an overall111-63 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
The French player best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Kursumlijska Banja.
Erhard has an overall 26-21 win-loss record in 2023, 26-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Amersfoort Challenger
Erhard has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Potenza
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-9 | 10-6 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-25 | 27-13 | 6-7 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 26-7 | 23-6 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 529, Potenza reached the qualifications after beating Pedro Sakamoto 6-2 6-72 6-1.
In the qualifications, Potenza defeated Sakamoto (6-2 6-72 6-1). During the match Potenza scored 99 points vs Sakamoto’s 87. Potenza was extremely aggressive to blast 55 winners.
About the serving games, Potenza struck 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Luca Potenza lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Potenza put 78% of his first serves in, winning 69% (55/80) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Potenza broke Sakamoto 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Luca’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Rome.
The Italian has an aggregate 14-15 win-loss record in 2023, 10-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Erhard | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 28 |
| Pts | 57-41 | 99-87 |
| Total Points | 98 | 186 |
| Winners | 27 | 55 |
| %Winners | 47% | 56% |
Both Erhard and Potenza played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Luca Potenza conceded 1 set while Mathys Erhard hasn’t lost a set so far. Erhard has played 1 set(s) less than Potenza (2 vs 3). Therefore, Erhard played 10 games less than Potenza. Mathys scored 27 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 55 winners (56%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Erhard | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 35/50 | 80/103 |
| %1st in | 70% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 55/80 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 10/23 |
| %2nd pts | 73% | 43% |
Erhard managed to score 2 aces . Potenza fired 3 aces . Erhard won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Erhard | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 60% | 46% |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Erhard broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The French player quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Potenza broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Luca conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Erhard | |||
| Q1 Slump |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 57-41 | 57-41 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/50 | 35/50 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 27/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 11/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Potenza | |||
| Q1 Sakamoto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-72 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 99-87 | 99-87 | |
| Total points | 186 | 186 | |
| Winners | 55 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 80/103 | 80/103 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 55/80 | 55/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 10/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLLWL
LWWLLWWLWW 
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