Zhizhen Zhang and Aslan Karatsev will play each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.56
Zhizhen Zhang -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Zhizhen Zhang vs. Aslan Karatsev
This will be the 2nd time that Zhizhen Zhang and Aslan Karatsev clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Zhang (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Zhang won 4-6 6-4 6-1 in the 1st round in Nur sultan back in 2022.
Zhizhen Zhang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 12-13 | 15-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 52-28 | 11-5 | 31-11 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-12 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, Zhang got to the quarter after defeating Jurij Rodionov 7-66 6-4, Denis Shapovalov 6-74 6-4 7-61, Cameron Norrie 2-6 7-62 7-62 and Taylor Fritz 3-6 7-65 7-68.
In the 4th round against Fritz, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-65 7-68).During the match, Zhang scored less points (13) than Fritz. In fact, the world no. 99 won 99 points vs Fritz’s. That means that Zhang was more focused during the important points. Zhang was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zhang bagged 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Zhizhen Zhang lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Zhang put 56% of his first serves in, winning 70% (42/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (28/47) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Fritz twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zhizhen has surrendered 3 set in this event to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Zhang has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (244-186). 7-3 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zhang has an overall 100-60 match record in the last years on clay.
Zhizhen has an aggregate 12-12 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Raul Brancaccio 6-4 6-0, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4 6-2, Laslo Djere 7-65 7-5, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-2 7-5, Alex De Minaur 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 7-61 6-4.
In the 4th round, Karatsev had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (7-61 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 69 points vs Medvedev’s 56. Aslan was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Karatsev scored 2 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Karatsev was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Medvedev twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karatsev started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Pune.
Aslan has a composed 14-8 win-loss record in 2023, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zhang | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 128 | 131 |
| Pts | 369-352 | 436-360 |
| Total Points | 721 | 796 |
| Winners | 188 | 197 |
| %Winners | 51% | 45% |
Zhang played 4 matches while Karatsev competed in 6 matches. Karatsev started his run from the qualifications while Zhang had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Zhizhen Zhang surrendered 3 sets, while Aslan Karatsev lost 1 set. Zhang has played 2 set(s) less than Karatsev (11 vs 13). Therefore, Zhang played 3 games less than Karatsev. Zhizhen scored 188 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Karatsev made 197 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zhang | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 7.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 241/351 | 264/414 |
| %1st in | 69% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 188/241 | 197/264 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 74/110 | 89/150 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 59% |
Zhang scored 31 aces (7.8 per match). Karatsev made 17 aces (2.8 per match). Zhang won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zhang | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 18 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 18/33 |
| % Converted | 67% | 55% |
| Conceded | 17 | 26 |
| Saved | 10 | 21 |
| % Saved | 59% | 81% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 5 |
The Chinese broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Zhizhen dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Aslan broke his opponents 18 times with a 55% conversion rate. Aslan conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zhang | ||||||
| R1 Rodionov |
R2 Shapovalov |
R3 Norrie |
R4 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-4 | 6-74 6-4 7-61 | 2-6 7-62 7-62 | 3-6 7-65 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 36 | 34 | 35 | 128 | |
| pts | 71-59 | 102-91 | 97-90 | 99-112 | 369-352 | |
| Total points | 130 | 193 | 187 | 211 | 721 | |
| Winners | 36 | 60 | 50 | 42 | 188 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 59% | 52% | 42% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/62 | 74/95 | 63/87 | 60/107 | 241/351 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 78% | 72% | 56% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 60/74 | 50/63 | 42/60 | 188/241 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 81% | 79% | 70% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 15/21 | 18/24 | 28/47 | 74/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 71% | 75% | 60% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 67% | 0% | 50% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 5/7 | 5/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 71% | 63% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Karatsev | ||||||||
| Q1 Brancaccio |
Q3 Struff |
R1 Djere |
R2 Van De Zandschulp |
R3 De Minaur |
R4 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-65 7-5 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 7-61 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 25 | 20 | 29 | 23 | 131 | |
| pts | 63-44 | 63-43 | 85-78 | 70-54 | 86-85 | 69-56 | 436-360 | |
| Total points | 107 | 106 | 163 | 124 | 171 | 125 | 796 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 38 | 26 | 45 | 34 | 197 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 45% | 37% | 52% | 49% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 37/60 | 34/51 | 53/88 | 36/56 | 61/95 | 43/64 | 264/414 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 67% | 60% | 64% | 64% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 28/34 | 38/53 | 26/36 | 45/61 | 34/43 | 197/264 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 82% | 72% | 72% | 74% | 79% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 11/17 | 21/35 | 13/20 | 17/34 | 14/21 | 89/150 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 65% | 60% | 65% | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/7 | 2/3 | 4/7 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 18/33 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 43% | 67% | 57% | 60% | 100% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 26 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 0/0 | 7/8 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 3/4 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 88% | 50% | 60% | 75% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWLLW
LL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Simone Bolelli/Fabrice MartinBolelli/Fabrice Martin (4-6 6-4 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction
