Ergi Kirkin and Mats Rosenkranz will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Vilnius Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 10:30 am on COURT 17. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mats Rosenkranz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mats Rosenkranz is the pick to win this match.
Mats Rosenkranz -> 1.53
Ergi Kirkin -> 2.38
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Prediction and head to head Ergi Kirkin vs. Mats Rosenkranz
This will be the 2nd time that Ergi Kirkin and Mats Rosenkranz face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kirkin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kirkin won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in M15 Monastir back in 2020.
Ergi Kirkin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-24 | 11-4 | 29-19 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-26 | 3-4 | 39-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-28 | 3-5 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-27 | 4-8 | 29-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-8 | 14-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 383, the Turk reached the 1st round after defeating Julius Tverijonas 6-3 6-4 and Vitaliy Sachko 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Turk had a good straight sets win against Sachko (6-2 6-4). During the match, Kirkin scored 73 points vs Sachko’s 56. Kirkin was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kirkin blasted 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ergi Kirkin lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kirkin put 68% of his first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. Kirkin broke Sachko 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ergi started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Kirkin has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (167-122). 4-3 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kirkin has a compiled13-13 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
Kirkin has an aggregate 4-3 win-loss record in 2023, 4-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Vilnius Challenger
The Turk has never competed in this tournament before.
Mats Rosenkranz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-18 | 0-3 | 13-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2023 | 35-34 | 4-9 | 4-10 | 22-12 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| 2022 | 31-36 | 2-4 | 7-14 | 14-13 | 2-4 | 6-1 |
| 2021 | 42-30 | 1-1 | 20-18 | 15-9 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 15-21 | 8-9 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 |
Ranked no. 418, Mats got to the 1st round after defeating Arjun Kadhe 6-3 6-4 and Saba Purtseladze 3-6 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications against Purtseladze, Rosenkranz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Rosenkranz and Purtseladze scored the same amount of points (82). However, the world no. 383 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Rosenkranz blasted 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mats Rosenkranz lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rosenkranz put 67% of his first serves in, winning 76% (47/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (9/30) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Purtseladze 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rosenkranz started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Mats has an aggregate 6-4 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kirkin | Rosenkranz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 45 |
| Pts | 135-106 | 149-128 |
| Total Points | 241 | 277 |
| Winners | 55 | 77 |
| %Winners | 41% | 52% |
Both Kirkin and Rosenkranz played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Mats Rosenkranz surrendered 1 set while Ergi Kirkin hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kirkin has played 1 set(s) less than Rosenkranz (4 vs 5). Therefore, Kirkin played 8 games less than Rosenkranz. Kirkin scored 55 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Rosenkranz fired 77 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kirkin | Rosenkranz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 76/124 | 94/140 |
| %1st in | 61% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 55/76 | 77/94 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 21/48 | 20/46 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 43% |
Kirkin struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Rosenkranz bagged 15 aces (7.5 per match). Kirkin won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Rosenkranz won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kirkin | Rosenkranz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 6 |
| Converted | 9/20 | 6/16 |
| % Converted | 45% | 38% |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Saved | 7 | 7 |
| % Saved | 64% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Kirkin broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Ergi conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Rosenkranz broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Rosenkranz conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kirkin | ||||
| Q1 Tverijonas |
Q3 Sachko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 37 | |
| pts | 62-50 | 73-56 | 135-106 | |
| Total points | 112 | 129 | 241 | |
| Winners | 21 | 34 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 47% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/58 | 45/66 | 76/124 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 68% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 34/45 | 55/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 76% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 9/21 | 21/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 43% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/10 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 6/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 86% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Rosenkranz | ||||
| Q1 Kadhe |
Q3 Purtseladze |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 45 | |
| pts | 67-46 | 82-82 | 149-128 | |
| Total points | 113 | 164 | 277 | |
| Winners | 30 | 47 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 57% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/48 | 62/92 | 94/140 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 30/32 | 47/62 | 77/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 76% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 9/30 | 20/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 30% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/9 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 44% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 5/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWLWLLL
LWWLLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Vilnius Challenger
- Julian OcleppoOcleppo – Karl FribergFriberg (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ergi KirkinKirkin – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz – Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel MasurMasur – Gianmarco FerrariFerrari (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard BerankisBerankis – Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Julian OcleppoOcleppo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Liam BroadyBroady – Mats MoraingMoraing (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Dennis NovakNovak (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic – Cem IlkelIlkel (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Daniel MasurMasur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ergi KirkinKirkin – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Evan FurnessFurness (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Michael GeertsGeerts (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kacper ZukZuk – Laurent LokoliLokoli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
