Jelle Sels and Mathias Bourgue will clash against each other in the quarter of the Brest Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelle Sels who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelle Sels is the pick to win this match.
Jelle Sels -> 1.58
Mathias Bourgue -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Jelle Sels vs. Mathias Bourgue
There is no head to head record between Jelle Sels and Mathias Bourgue since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Jelle Sels
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-9 | 13-6 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 18-10 | 0-1 | 14-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 135 (career-high), the Dutch got to the quarter after beating Evan Furness 7-5 6-4 and Benoit Paire 7-63 1-0 ret..
In the 2nd round against Paire, Jelle had a free pass after Paire retired on a 7-63 1-0 . scoreline.
Sels has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 56% of his matches (286-223). 18-11 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sels has an overall65-53 match record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
The Dutch’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Den Haag,the Tulln Challenger,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula and the Captif Challenger.
Jelle has an aggregate 44-29 win-loss record in 2022, 18-11 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brest Challenger
Sels has never competed in this tournament before.
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 443, Mathias got to the quarter after defeating Robin Bertrand 6-3 6-2, Antoine Ghibaudo 6-4 6-3, Harold Mayot 6-0 5-7 6-2 and Benjamin Bonzi w/o.
In the 2nd round, Bourgue defeated Bonzi (w/o). During the match Bourgue and Bonzi scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 135 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Bourgue was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Bourgue was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Mathias Bourgue conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mathias started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The French player has an aggregate 18-17 win-loss record in 2022, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 62 |
| Pts | 125-104 | 214-146 |
| Total Points | 229 | 360 |
| Winners | 58 | 95 |
| %Winners | 46% | 44% |
Sels played 2 matches while Bourgue competed in 3 matches. Bourgue started his run from the qualifications while Sels had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mathias Bourgue lost 1 set while Jelle Sels hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sels has played 2 set(s) less than Bourgue (5 vs 7). Therefore, Sels played 26 games less than Bourgue. The Dutch scored 58 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The French player struck 95 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 7.7 |
| 1st in | 78/119 | 132/181 |
| %1st in | 66% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 58/78 | 95/132 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 21/41 | 34/49 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 69% |
Sels recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Bourgue struck 23 aces (7.7 per match). Sels won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Bourgue won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 12 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 12/22 |
| % Converted | 83% | 55% |
| Conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Saved | 12 | 10 |
| % Saved | 80% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Jelle broke his opponents 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Jelle conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Mathias conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sels | ||||
| R1 Furness |
R2 Paire |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 7-63 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 14 | 36 | |
| pts | 76-64 | 49-40 | 125-104 | |
| Total points | 140 | 89 | 229 | |
| Winners | 34 | 24 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/70 | 35/49 | 78/119 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 71% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 24/35 | 58/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 69% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 9/14 | 21/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 64% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 1/2 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 4/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Bourgue | ||||||
| Q1 Bertrand |
Q3 Ghibaudo |
R1 Mayot |
R2 Bonzi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-0 5-7 6-2 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | – | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 26 | – | 62 | |
| pts | 64-37 | 65-44 | 85-65 | – | 214-146 | |
| Total points | 101 | 109 | 150 | – | 360 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | 37 | – | 95 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 44% | – | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 10 | – | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | |
| 1st in | 40/50 | 37/48 | 55/83 | – | 132/181 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 77% | 66% | – | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 29/37 | 37/55 | – | 95/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 78% | 67% | – | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 9/11 | 16/28 | – | 34/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | 82% | 57% | – | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | – | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | 6/6 | – | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | 100% | – | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 7 | – | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 1/2 | 5/7 | – | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 71% | – | 111% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | – | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWL
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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