Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.62
Marketa Vondrousova -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marketa Vondrousova
This will be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova face off. The head to head is 2-2 for Sabalenka and Vondrousova (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-2 in the 4th round in Miami back in 2021.
Aryna Sabalenka
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 16-5 | 14-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Aryna got to the 3rd round after defeating Storm Sanders 5-7 6-3 6-2 and Xinyu Wang 1-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Wang, Aryna recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-2).During the match, Sabalenka scored less points (1) than Wang. In fact, the world no. 2 won 83 points vs Wang’s. That means that Sabalenka was more focused during the important points. The Belarussian was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka fired 5 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 19 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 49% of her first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (20/48) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Wang 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
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Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 51% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of her matches (232-120). 2-2 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an overall136-63 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Aryna has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2022, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Marketa Vondrousova
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 9-5 | 5-4 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 41-18 | 19-12 | 9-3 | 4-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 21-7 | 11-3 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 34-19 | 21-10 | 4-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41, the Czech got to the 3rd round after defeating Priscilla Hon 6-2 6-3 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Marketa had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-2 7-5). During the match Vondrousova scored 70 points vs Samsonova’s 61. The Czech was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Vondrousova struck 4 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Marketa Vondrousova lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Vondrousova put 56% of her first serves in, winning 68% (28/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Vondrousova broke Samsonova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Marketa has a compiled 3-1 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
Tot Games | 54 | 37 |
Pts | 182-173 | 131-106 |
Total Points | 355 | 237 |
Winners | 69 | 45 |
%Winners | 38% | 34% |
Both Sabalenka and Vondrousova played 2 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 2 sets while Marketa Vondrousova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 sets more than Vondrousova (6 vs 4). Therefore, Sabalenka played 17 games more than Vondrousova. Sabalenka scored 69 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Vondrousova blasted 45 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
---|---|---|
Aces | 12 | 6 |
Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
1st in | 106/184 | 66/115 |
%1st in | 58% | 57% |
1st pts | 69/106 | 45/66 |
%1st pts | 65% | 68% |
2nd pts | 33/78 | 26/49 |
%2nd pts | 42% | 53% |
Sabalenka managed to score 12 aces (6 per match). Vondrousova recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Sabalenka won 65% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Vondrousova won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
---|---|---|
Won | 12 | 10 |
Converted | 12/27 | 10/18 |
% Converted | 44% | 56% |
Conceded | 21 | 6 |
Saved | 11 | 3 |
% Saved | 52% | 50% |
Times Broken | 10 | 3 |
Aryna broke her opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Belarussian dropped her serve 10 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Vondrousova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | ||||
R1 Sanders |
R2 Wang |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 5-7 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 29 | 25 | 54 | |
pts | 99-89 | 83-84 | 182-173 | |
Total points | 188 | 167 | 355 | |
Winners | 39 | 30 | 69 | |
%Winners | 39% | 36% | 38% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
Double Faults | 12 | 19 | 31 | |
1st in | 60/90 | 46/94 | 106/184 | |
% 1st in | 67% | 49% | 58% | |
1st pts | 39/60 | 30/46 | 69/106 | |
% 1st pts | 65% | 65% | 65% | |
2nd pts | 13/30 | 20/48 | 33/78 | |
% 2nd pts | 43% | 42% | 42% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
Converted | 7/17 | 5/10 | 12/27 | |
Converted % | 41% | 50% | 44% | |
Conceded | 11 | 10 | 21 | |
Saved | 6/11 | 5/10 | 11 | |
Saved % | 55% | 50% | 53% | |
Times Broken | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Vondrousova | ||||
R1 Hon |
R2 Samsonova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 37 | |
pts | 61-45 | 70-61 | 131-106 | |
Total points | 106 | 131 | 237 | |
Winners | 17 | 28 | 45 | |
%Winners | 28% | 40% | 34% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
1st in | 25/42 | 41/73 | 66/115 | |
% 1st in | 60% | 56% | 57% | |
1st pts | 17/25 | 28/41 | 45/66 | |
% 1st pts | 68% | 68% | 68% | |
2nd pts | 12/17 | 14/32 | 26/49 | |
% 2nd pts | 71% | 44% | 53% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
Converted | 5/8 | 5/10 | 10/18 | |
Converted % | 63% | 50% | 56% | |
Conceded | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
Saved | 0/1 | 3/5 | 3 | |
Saved % | 0% | 60% | 30% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Head 2 Head
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- Madison KeysKeys – Qiang WangWang (4-6 6-3 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
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