Jasmine Paolini and Mai Hontama will fight against each other in the 1st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.7
Mai Hontama -> 2.21

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Mai Hontama

This will be the 2nd time that Jasmine Paolini and Mai Hontama clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Paolini won 6-2 6-2 in the 1st round in the W100 Tokyo back in 2019.

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 63, Paolini reached the 1st round after defeating Natalia Vikhlyantseva 6-1 6-4.

Paolini has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of her matches (270-191). 15-12 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has an aggregate76-61 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in the Bol where she defeated Arantxa Rus in the final 6-2 7-6(4) and in in Portoroz where she defeated Alison Riske in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.

Paolini has a composed 27-21 win-loss record in 2021, 15-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Paolini has never competed in this tournament before.

Indian Wells
Paolini's Record

Mai Hontama

Ranked no. 161 (career-high), the Japanese got to the 1st round after beating Panna Udvardy 7-5 7-5 and Kristina Kucova 6-3 6-4.

In the qualifications, Hontama had a good straight sets win against Kucova (6-3 6-4). During the match Hontama scored 68 points vs Kucova’s 51. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Hontama scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Mai Hontama lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Hontama put 70% of her first serves in, winning 77% (37/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (6/21) on the 2nd serve. Hontama broke Kucova 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in the W25 Salinas where she overcame Carol Zhao in the final 7-5 6-1 and in the W25 Porto where she beat Anastasia Tikhonova in the final 6-4 6-3.

Hontama has a compiled 41-13 win-loss record in 2021, 32-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Indian Wells
Hontama's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
M.Hontama
2h:43
2h:43
Time on court​
3h:24
3h:24
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
1h:27
1h:27
2
2
Match played
2
2
33
33
Games Played​
43
43
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
123
123
Total points​
151
151
61.5
61.5
Avg point​
75.5
75.5
54
54
Winners
69
69
27
27
Avg Winners​
34.5
34.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
1
1
0.5
0.5
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
10
10
Double Faults
5
5
5
5
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
54/87
54/87
1st won total​
69/101
69/101
62%
62%
1st won %
68%
68%
18/50
18/50
2nd won total​
16/43
16/43
!
36%
36%
2nd won %
!
37%
37%
-- Break Points --
6/9
6/9
BP won
10/20
10/20
3/4.5
3/4.5
Avg BP won
5/10
5/10
!
67%
67%
Won
50%
50%
24
24
Conceded
14
14
12
12
Avg Conceded
7
7
7
7
Broken
6
6
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
3
3
17
17
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Hontama
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 17 43
Pts 72-58 151-127
Total Points 130 278
Winners 31 69
%Winners 43% 46%

Paolini played 1 match while Hontama competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Paolini has played 2 set(s) less than Hontama (2 vs 4). Therefore, Paolini played 26 games less than Hontama. The Italian scored 31 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese blasted 69 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Hontama
Aces 0 1
Avg per match 0 0.5
1st in 46/75 101/144
%1st in 61% 70%
1st pts 31/46 69/101
%1st pts 67% 68%
2nd pts 12/29 16/43
%2nd pts 41% 37%

Paolini didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Hontama managed to score 1 ace (0.5 per match). Paolini won 67% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Hontama won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 37% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Hontama
Won 5 10
Converted 5/5 10/20
% Converted 100% 50%
Conceded 10 14
Saved 8 8
% Saved 80% 57%
Times Broken 2 6

Paolini broke her opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Italian lost her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Mai broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Hontama conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
Q1
Vikhlyantseva		 Q3
Kozlova		 Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 16 33
pts 72-58 – 72-58
Total points 130 0 130
Winners 31 31
%Winners 43% NAN% 43%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 0
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 46/75 / 46/75
% 1st in 61% – 61%
1st pts 31/46 / 31/46
% 1st pts 67% – 67%
2nd pts 12/29 / 12/29
% 2nd pts 41% – 41%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/5 / 5/5
Converted % 100% – 100%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 8/10 0/ 8
Saved % 80% – 40%
Times Broken 2 2
Hontama
Q1
Udvardy		 Q3
Kucova		 Total
Score 7-5 7-5 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 24 19 43
pts 83-76 68-51 151-127
Total points 159 119 278
Winners 32 37 69
%Winners 39% 54% 46%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 1
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 53/75 48/69 101/144
% 1st in 71% 70% 70%
1st pts 32/53 37/48 69/101
% 1st pts 60% 77% 68%
2nd pts 10/22 6/21 16/43
% 2nd pts 45% 29% 37%
Breaks
Won 6 4 10
Converted 6/15 4/5 10/20
Converted % 40% 80% 50%
Conceded 8 6 14
Saved 4/8 4/6 8
Saved % 50% 67% 59%
Times Broken 4 2 6

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw

Paolini
More Stats
Click here
Hontama

Click for FULL STATS