H2H, PREDICTION Aryna Sabalenka vs Danielle Rose Collins | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Sabalenka and Collins will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Danielle Rose Collins

Aryna Sabalenka and Danielle Rose Collins will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.48
Danielle Rose Collins -> 2.81

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Danielle Rose Collins

This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Danielle Rose Collins fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-0 in the 2nd round in Wuhan back in 2019.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Danielle Rose Collins – Wuhan 23-September-2019

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Aryna got to the 3rd round after beating Nina Stojanovic 6-4 6-74 6-0 and Tamara Zidansek 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Zidansek (6-3 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 60 points vs Zidansek’s 32. Sabalenka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka made 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of her 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aryna broke Zidansek 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aryna started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 59% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (225-114). 20-8 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled130-58 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she overcame Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.

Sabalenka has a composed 40-14 win-loss record in 2021, 20-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2018. See her history.

Sabalenka
U.S. Open
Sabalenka's Record

Danielle Rose Collins

Ranked no. 29, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Carla Suarez Navarro 6-2 6-4 and Kaja Juvan 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Juvan (6-4 6-2). During the match Collins scored 61 points vs Juvan’s 39. Danielle was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

About the serving games, Collins fired 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Danielle Rose Collins was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (21/25) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Danielle broke Juvan 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Danielle started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 61% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Palermo where she defeated Elena Gabriela Ruse in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in San Jose where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-7(10) 6-1.

Danielle has an overall 31-11 win-loss record in 2021, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See her history.

Collins
U.S. Open
Collins's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
D.Collins
3h:23
3h:23
Time on court​
2h:17
2h:17
!
0h:59
0h:59
Last match​
1h:09
1h:09
2
2
Match played
2
2
45
45
Games Played​
36
36
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
169
169
Total points​
123
123
84.5
84.5
Avg point​
61.5
61.5
67
67
Winners
40
40
33.5
33.5
Avg Winners​
20
20
40%
40%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
12
12
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
6
6
14
14
Double Faults
5
5
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
67/78
67/78
1st won total​
40/46
40/46
!
86%
86%
1st won %
!
87%
87%
24/56
24/56
2nd won total​
29/40
29/40
43%
43%
2nd won %
!
73%
73%
-- Break Points --
11/16
11/16
BP won
7/16
7/16
5.5/8
5.5/8
Avg BP won
3.5/8
3.5/8
!
69%
69%
Won
44%
44%
10
10
Conceded
1
1
5
5
Avg Conceded
0.5
0.5
3
3
Broken
1
1
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
7
7
Saved
0
0
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Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Collins
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 45 36
Pts 169-116 123-79
Total Points 285 202
Winners 67 40
%Winners 40% 33%

Both Sabalenka and Collins played 2 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set while Danielle Rose Collins hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Collins (5 vs 4). Therefore, Sabalenka played 9 games more than Collins. Aryna scored 67 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 40 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Collins
Aces 17 12
Avg per match 8.5 6
1st in 78/134 46/86
%1st in 58% 53%
1st pts 67/78 40/46
%1st pts 86% 87%
2nd pts 24/56 29/40
%2nd pts 43% 73%

Sabalenka fired 17 aces (8.5 per match). Collins struck 12 aces (6 per match). Sabalenka won 86% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 87% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 73% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Collins
Won 11 7
Converted 11/16 7/16
% Converted 69% 44%
Conceded 10 1
Saved 7 0
% Saved 70% 0%
Times Broken 3 1

Aryna broke her opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Stojanovic		 R2
Zidansek		 Total
Score 6-4 6-74 6-0 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 16 45
pts 109-84 60-32 169-116
Total points 193 92 285
Winners 44 23 67
%Winners 40% 38% 40%
SERVE
Aces 13 4 17
Double Faults 13 1 14
1st in 51/94 27/40 78/134
% 1st in 54% 68% 58%
1st pts 44/51 23/27 67/78
% 1st pts 86% 85% 86%
2nd pts 14/43 10/13 24/56
% 2nd pts 33% 77% 43%
Breaks
Won 7 4 11
Converted 7/11 4/5 11/16
Converted % 64% 80% 69%
Conceded 8 2 10
Saved 5/8 2/2 7
Saved % 63% 100% 82%
Times Broken 3 0 3
Collins
R1
Suarez Navarro		 R2
Juvan 		Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 18 36
pts 62-40 61-39 123-79
Total points 102 100 202
Winners 19 21 40
%Winners 31% 34% 33%
SERVE
Aces 10 2 12
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 21/43 25/43 46/86
% 1st in 49% 58% 53%
1st pts 19/21 21/25 40/46
% 1st pts 90% 84% 87%
2nd pts 17/22 12/18 29/40
% 2nd pts 77% 67% 73%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/10 4/6 7/16
Converted % 30% 67% 44%
Conceded 0 1 1
Saved 0/0 0/1 0
Saved % – 0% 0%
Times Broken 0 1 1

Head 2 Head

Aryna Sabalenka
  • 2Slam
  • 14Main
  • 4ITF
  • 2Minor
Danielle Rose Collins
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 4ITF
  • 1Minor

Aryna
Sabalenka

4:0

Danielle
Rose Collins

Rank

2

High

1

4Hard0

Rank

15

High

7

Win Loss
Sabalenka
WLWLWLWWLW
Rose Collins
WWWWWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
16 - 5
27 - 7
14-4
Hard
20-7
2-1
Clay
7-0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Sabalenka Aryna Sabalenka
More Stats
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Collins Danielle Rose Collins