H2H, PREDICTION Aryna Sabalenka vs Danielle Rose Collins | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Sabalenka and Collins will square off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

H2h, Prediction Aryna Sabalenka Vs Danielle Rose Collins U.s. Open Odds, Preview, Pick

Aryna Sabalenka and Danielle Rose Collins will face off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.59
Danielle Rose Collins -> 2.42

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Danielle Rose Collins

This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Danielle Rose Collins fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Danielle Rose Collins – U.S. Open 03-September-2021

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 23-6 14-4 9-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 6, the Belarussian reached the 4th round after defeating Catherine Harrison 6-1 6-3, Kaia Kanepi 2-6 7-68 6-4 and Clara Burel 6-0 6-2.

In the 3rd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Burel (6-0 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 69 points vs Burel’s 40. The Belarussian was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 59% of her first serves in, winning 66% (19/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Burel 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aryna has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 66% of her matches (257-135). 14-10 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate148-71 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

Sabalenka’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Stuttgart and Hertogenbosch.

Sabalenka has a compiled 27-17 win-loss record in 2022, 14-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Sabalenka
U.S. Open
Sabalenka's Record

Danielle Rose Collins

Danielle Rose Collins
Danielle Rose Collins

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15
High
7
WWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-8 20-7 11-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 22-18 19-15 0-2 2-0 1-1 0-0
2022 21-12 17-6 3-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2021 40-15 23-10 11-3 5-1 1-1 0-0
2020 10-6 6-5 4-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 19, Danielle got to the 4th round after beating Naomi Osaka 7-65 6-3, Cristina Bucsa 6-2 7-5 and Alize Cornet 6-4 7-69.

In the 3rd round, Danielle had a good straight sets win against Cornet (6-4 7-69). During the match Collins scored 84 points vs Cornet’s 71. Collins was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Collins fired 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (39/45) of her 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Cornet once after converting 25% of her break points (1/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final at the Australian Open .

Collins has an aggregate 15-8 win-loss record in 2022, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.

Collins
U.S. Open
Collins's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
D.Collins
4h:51
4h:51
Time on court​
4h:56
4h:56
1h:08
1h:08
Last match​
1h:53
1h:53
3
3
Match played
3
3
61
61
Games Played​
65
65
7
7
Set played​​
6
6
228
228
Total points​
229
229
76
76
Avg point​
76.3
76.3
87
87
Winners
97
97
29
29
Avg Winners​
32.3
32.3
38%
38%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
12
12
2.7
2.7
Avg Aces
4
4
17
17
Double Faults
15
15
!
5.7
5.7
Avg Double Faults
5
5
87/136
87/136
1st won total​
97/120
97/120
64%
64%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
36/82
36/82
2nd won total​
45/88
45/88
44%
44%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
17/35
17/35
BP won
9/20
9/20
5.7/11.7
5.7/11.7
Avg BP won
3/6.7
3/6.7
49%
49%
Won
45%
45%
18
18
Conceded
15
15
6
6
Avg Conceded
5
5
9
9
Broken
4
4
3
3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
9
9
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Collins
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 61 65
Pts 228-191 229-194
Total Points 419 423
Winners 87 97
%Winners 38% 42%

Both Sabalenka and Collins played 3 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set while Danielle Rose Collins hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Collins (7 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Sabalenka played 4 games less than Collins. Sabalenka scored 87 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Collins fired 97 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Collins
Aces 8 12
Avg per match 2.7 4
1st in 136/218 120/208
%1st in 62% 58%
1st pts 87/136 97/120
%1st pts 64% 81%
2nd pts 36/82 45/88
%2nd pts 44% 51%

Sabalenka recorded 8 aces (2.7 per match). Collins managed to score 12 aces (4 per match). Sabalenka won 64% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 81% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Collins
Won 17 9
Converted 17/35 9/20
% Converted 49% 45%
Conceded 18 15
Saved 9 11
% Saved 50% 73%
Times Broken 9 4

Aryna broke her opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Belarussian surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Harrison
R2
Kanepi
R3
Burel
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 2-6 7-68 6-4 6-0 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 16 31 14 61
pts 62-47 97-104 69-40 228-191
Total points 109 201 109 419
Winners 22 46 19 87
%Winners 35% 47% 28% 38%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 2 8
Double Faults 4 11 2 17
1st in 35/55 72/114 29/49 136/218
% 1st in 64% 63% 59% 62%
1st pts 22/35 46/72 19/29 87/136
% 1st pts 63% 64% 66% 64%
2nd pts 9/20 17/42 10/20 36/82
% 2nd pts 45% 40% 50% 44%
Breaks
Won 6 4 7 17
Converted 6/13 4/6 7/16 17/35
Converted % 46% 67% 44% 49%
Conceded 4 9 5 18
Saved 2/4 4/9 3/5 9
Saved % 50% 44% 60% 51%
Times Broken 2 5 2 9
Collins
R1
Osaka
R2
Bucsa
R3
Cornet
Total
Score 7-65 6-3 6-2 7-5 6-4 7-69
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 22 20 23 65
pts 72-65 73-58 84-71 229-194
Total points 137 131 155 423
Winners 31 27 39 97
%Winners 43% 37% 46% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 5 6 12
Double Faults 9 4 2 15
1st in 42/75 33/61 45/72 120/208
% 1st in 56% 54% 63% 58%
1st pts 31/42 27/33 39/45 97/120
% 1st pts 74% 82% 87% 81%
2nd pts 16/33 12/28 17/27 45/88
% 2nd pts 48% 43% 63% 51%
Breaks
Won 3 5 1 9
Converted 3/5 5/11 1/4 9/20
Converted % 60% 45% 25% 45%
Conceded 8 6 1 15
Saved 6/8 4/6 1/1 11
Saved % 75% 67% 100% 81%
Times Broken 2 2 0 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sabalenka
WWWLWWWWWL
Rose Collins
WWWLWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
23 - 6
31 - 8
14-4
Hard
20-7
9-2
Clay
11-1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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