Matej Dodig and Lukas Neumayer will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Braga Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matej Dodig who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matej Dodig is the pick to win this match.
Matej Dodig -> 1.62
Lukas Neumayer -> 2.13
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Matej Dodig vs. Lukas Neumayer
This will be the 2nd time that Matej Dodig and Lukas Neumayer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Dodig (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Dodig won 7-6(5) 6-2 in the quarter in the Trieste Challenger back in 2025.
Matej Dodig
34 - 20win/loss
174
171
WWWLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-20 | 0-4 | 28-11 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 36-32 | 0-0 | 24-22 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-26 | 14-5 | 30-20 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-16 | 1-2 | 38-12 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 174, Matej got to the semifinal after defeating Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 3-6 6-1, Miguel Damas 6-4 6-1 and Marvin Moeller 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Dodig had a good straight sets win against Moeller (6-2 6-3). During the match, Dodig scored 63 points vs Moeller’s 47. Dodig was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dodig bagged 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Matej Dodig conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Dodig put 69% of his first serves in, winning 83% (29/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. The Croatian broke Moeller 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matej has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
ATP Braga Challenger - Matej Dodig's projected path
Dodig has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 63% of his matches (159-94). 28-11 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dodig has an aggregate120-65 match record in the last 4 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Como Challenger where he beat Juan Pablo Varillas in the final 6-3 7-6(5).
Dodig has an overall 34-20 win-loss record in 2026, 28-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Braga Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
Lukas Neumayer
44 - 25win/loss
180
157
WWWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-25 | 9-7 | 34-17 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 37-31 | 3-6 | 33-21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-32 | 2-2 | 38-29 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-32 | 2-1 | 38-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-26 | 12-4 | 41-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 180, the Austrian got to the semifinal after beating Florian Broska 4-6 6-3 6-2, Olle Wallin 6-2 6-2 and Max Alcala Gurri 6-7(6) 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter against Alcala Gurri, Lukas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 6-2 6-2). During the match Neumayer scored 107 points vs Alcala Gurri’s 89. The Austrian was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Neumayer fired 3 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lukas Neumayer lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Neumayer put 59% of his first serves in, winning 60% (37/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (19/43) on the 2nd serve. Lukas broke Alcala Gurri 9 times after converting 56% of his break points (9/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Austrian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
ATP Braga Challenger - Lukas Neumayer's projected path
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Barletta Challenger where he overcame Michele Ribecai in the final 2-6 6-3 6-3 and the Vicenza Challenger where he beat Jacopo Vasami in the final 6-2 6-2.
Lukas has a composed 44-25 win-loss record in 2026, 34-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dodig | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 72 |
| Pts | 221-170 | 268-214 |
| Total Points | 391 | 482 |
| Winners | 86 | 104 |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% |
Both Dodig and Neumayer played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matej Dodig dropped 1 set, while Lukas Neumayer surrendered 2 sets. Dodig has played 1 set(s) less than Neumayer (7 vs 8). Therefore, Dodig played 13 games less than Neumayer. Dodig scored 86 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Austrian scored 104 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dodig | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 115/176 | 151/248 |
| %1st in | 65% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 86/115 | 104/151 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 34/61 | 50/97 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 52% |
Dodig recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Neumayer fired 9 aces (3 per match). Dodig won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Neumayer won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dodig | Neumayer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 16 |
| Converted | 13/30 | 16/41 |
| % Converted | 43% | 39% |
| Conceded | 10 | 22 |
| Saved | 7 | 16 |
| % Saved | 70% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
Matej broke his opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Dodig dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Lukas broke his opponents 16 times with a 39% conversion rate. Lukas conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dodig | |||||
| R1 Pellegrino |
R2 Damas |
1/4 Moeller |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-1 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 17 | 17 | 59 | |
| pts | 81-65 | 77-58 | 63-47 | 221-170 | |
| Total points | 146 | 135 | 110 | 391 | |
| Winners | 32 | 25 | 29 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% | 46% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 39/54 | 35/51 | 115/176 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 72% | 69% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 25/39 | 29/35 | 86/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 64% | 83% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 7/15 | 7/16 | 34/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 47% | 44% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 6/17 | 4/6 | 13/30 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 35% | 67% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/3 | 4/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Neumayer | |||||
| R1 Broska |
R2 Wallin |
1/4 Alcala |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-76 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 16 | 29 | 72 | |
| pts | 98-84 | 63-41 | 107-89 | 268-214 | |
| Total points | 182 | 104 | 196 | 482 | |
| Winners | 41 | 26 | 37 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 55/92 | 34/51 | 62/105 | 151/248 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 67% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 41/55 | 26/34 | 37/62 | 104/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 76% | 60% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/37 | 10/17 | 19/43 | 50/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 59% | 44% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/16 | 4/9 | 9/16 | 16/41 | |
| Converted % | 19% | 44% | 56% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | 22 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5/5 | 6/11 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 55% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Braga Challenger
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Luka MikrutMikrut (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Younes Lalami Laaroussi/Mario Mansilla DiezLalami Laaroussi/Mario Mansilla Diez – Ignasi Forcano/Rafael Izquierdo LuqueForcano/Rafael Izquierdo Luque (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Karol Drzewiecki/Admir KalenderDrzewiecki/Admir Kalender – Alberto Barroso Campos/Johan NiklesBarroso Campos/Johan Nikles (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Elmer MollerMoller – Tiago PereiraPereira (5-7 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Inigo Cervantes/Denys MolchanovCervantes/Denys Molchanov – Finn Bass/Scott DuncanBass/Scott Duncan (3-6 6-1 12-10) – See score progression
- Matej DodigDodig – Marvin MoellerMoeller (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Max Alcala GurriAlcala Gurri (6-76 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Elmer MollerMoller – Tiago PereiraPereira (5-7 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Luka MikrutMikrut (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Matej DodigDodig – Marvin MoellerMoeller (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Max Alcala GurriAlcala Gurri (6-7(6) 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
