H2H, prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova in Beijing with odds, preview, pick | 4th October 2026

PREVIEW. Beijing. Sabalenka and Bartunkova will play each other in the 3rd round of the China Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 4th of October

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Nikola Bartunkova

Aryna Sabalenka and Nikola Bartunkova will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on Court 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.115
Nikola Bartunkova -> 6.25

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Nikola Bartunkova

This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Nikola Bartunkova play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 2-6 7-6(2) 6-4 in the quarter in Berlin back in June 2026.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova – Berlin 19-June-2026

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

47 - 9win/loss

Hard
34-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-3
Grass
5-2
Rank
2
High
1
LWLWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 47-10 34-5 8-3 0-0 5-2 0-0
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Aryna got to the 3rd round after defeating Renata Zarazua 6-1 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Zarazua (6-1 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 60 points vs Zarazua’s 34. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka scored 11 aces and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was quite efficient on serve to win 88% (22/25) of her 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sabalenka broke Zarazua 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

WTA Beijing - Aryna Sabalenka's projected path

Projected draw

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 73% of her matches (454-171). 34-4 on hard in 2026. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a compiled 282-95 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Indian Wells where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 3-6 6-3 7-6(6) and in Miami where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-2 4-6 6-3.

The Belarussian has an overall 47-9 win-loss record in 2026, 34-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2018, 2023 and 2024. See her history.

Sabalenka
Beijing
Sabalenka's Record

Nikola Bartunkova

Nikola Bartunkova
Nikola Bartunkova

35 - 20win/loss

Hard
20-10
I Hard
2-1
Clay
5-5
Grass
8-4
Rank
34
High
34
WWLWWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 36-20 21-10 5-5 2-1 8-4 0-0
2025 54-19 8-5 26-8 20-6 0-0 0-0
2024 19-11 0-0 1-2 18-9 0-0 0-0
2023 24-10 0-1 21-5 3-4 0-0 0-0
2022 33-15 14-4 13-6 5-4 0-0 1-1

Ranked no. 34 (career-high), the Czech got to the 3rd round after defeating Magdalena Frech 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Bartunkova had a good straight sets win against Frech (6-2 6-2). During the match Bartunkova scored 60 points vs Frech’s 39. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Bartunkova scored 4 aces and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Nikola Bartunkova was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nikola broke Frech 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

WTA Beijing - Nikola Bartunkova's projected path

Projected draw

Nikola’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Birmingham.

The Czech has a compiled 35-20 win-loss record in 2026, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Bartunkova
Beijing
Bartunkova's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
N.Bartunkova
1h:02
1h:02
Time on court​
1h:12
1h:12
1h:02
1h:02
Last match​
1h:12
1h:12
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
16
16
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
60
60
Total points​
60
60
60
60
Avg point​
60
60
22
22
Winners
21
21
22
22
Avg Winners​
21
21
37%
37%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
4
4
!
11
11
Avg Aces
4
4
0
0
Double Faults
0
0
0
0
Avg Double Faults
0
0
22/25
22/25
1st won total​
21/26
21/26
!
88%
88%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
10/14
10/14
2nd won total​
12/16
12/16
!
71%
71%
2nd won %
!
75%
75%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
4/8
4/8
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
0
0
Conceded
0
0
0
0
Avg Conceded
0
0
0
0
Broken
0
0
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0
0
0
0
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Bartunkova
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
Pts 60-34 60-39
Total Points 94 99
Winners 22 21
%Winners 37% 35%

Both Sabalenka and Bartunkova played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Bartunkova have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (16). Aryna scored 22 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech blasted 21 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Bartunkova
Aces 11 4
Avg per match 11 4
1st in 25/39 26/42
%1st in 64% 62%
1st pts 22/25 21/26
%1st pts 88% 81%
2nd pts 10/14 12/16
%2nd pts 71% 75%

Sabalenka scored 11 aces . Bartunkova struck 4 aces . Sabalenka won 88% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Bartunkova won 81% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 75% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Bartunkova
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0 0
% Saved 0% 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Sabalenka broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Belarussian extremely effective on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Czech broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Czech was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Sabalenka
R2
Zarazua
Total
Score 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 60-34 60-34
Total points 94 94
Winners 22 22
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 11 11
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 25/39 25/39
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 22/25 22/25
% 1st pts 88% 88%
2nd pts 10/14 10/14
% 2nd pts 71% 71%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % – 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Bartunkova
R2
Frech
Total
Score 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 60-39 60-39
Total points 99 99
Winners 21 21
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 26/42 26/42
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 21/26 21/26
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 12/16 12/16
% 2nd pts 75% 75%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % – 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sabalenka
WWWWWWWWWW
Bartunkova
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
47 - 10
36 - 20
34-5
Hard
21-10
0-0
I Hard
2-1
8-3
Clay
5-5
5-2
Grass
8-4

Tennis Scores in Beijing

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw