H2H, prediction of Petr Nesterov vs Marko Topo in Porto Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 28th September 2026

PREVIEW. Porto Challenger. Nesterov and Topo will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Porto Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 28th of September

Prediction and head to head Petr Nesterov vs. Marko Topo

Petr Nesterov and Marko Topo will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Porto Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on Court 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marko Topo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marko Topo is the pick to win this match.
Marko Topo -> 1.67
Petr Nesterov -> 2.05

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Petr Nesterov vs. Marko Topo

There is no head to head record between Petr Nesterov and Marko Topo since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Petr Nesterov

Petr Nesterov
Petr Nesterov

49 - 21win/loss

Hard
19-6
I Hard
2-2
Clay
28-13
Rank
298
High
298
WWLWWLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 52-22 22-7 28-13 2-2 0-0 0-0
2025 39-24 17-8 19-14 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 45-22 3-3 35-17 7-2 0-0 0-0
2023 51-22 30-9 21-13 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 24-18 5-6 18-10 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 300 (career-high), the Bulgarian got to the qualifications after beating Giorgio Tabacco 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the qualifications, Nesterov defeated Tabacco (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Nesterov scored 103 points vs Tabacco’s 99. Petr was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nesterov made 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Petr Nesterov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Nesterov put 59% of his first serves in, winning 62% (36/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (19/40) on the 2nd serve. Petr broke Tabacco 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).

Nesterov has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (210-113). 19-6 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nesterov has a compiled76-37 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

The Bulgarian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Monastir,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula and M25 Gentofte.

The Bulgarian has an aggregate 49-21 win-loss record in 2026, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

The Bulgarian has never competed in this tournament before.

Nesterov
Porto Challenger
Nesterov's Record

Marko Topo

Marko Topo
Marko Topo

20 - 22win/loss

Hard
1-0
I Hard
3-2
Clay
16-20
Rank
330
High
235
LWLWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 21-24 2-2 16-20 3-2 0-0 0-0
2025 45-23 7-1 30-15 8-6 0-0 0-1
2024 33-23 9-4 23-18 1-1 0-0 0-0
2023 31-26 0-1 31-19 0-5 0-0 0-1
2022 26-28 8-6 12-13 6-7 0-1 0-1

Ranked no. 362, Marko got to the qualifications after defeating Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 6-3 6-7(6) 6-3.

In the qualifications, The Serbian defeated Gonzalez Fernandez (6-3 6-76 6-3). During the match Topo scored 108 points vs Gonzalez Fernandez’s 95. Topo was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Topo blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Marko Topo lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Topo put 51% of his first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (26/49) on the 2nd serve. Topo broke Gonzalez Fernandez 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).

The Serbian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Zlatibor.

Marko has an overall 20-22 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Topo
Porto Challenger
Topo's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

P.Nesterov
M.Topo
2h:33
2h:33
Time on court​
2h:42
2h:42
!
2h:33
2h:33
Last match​
!
2h:42
2h:42
1
1
Match played
1
1
29
29
Games Played​
31
31
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
103
103
Total points​
108
108
103
103
Avg point​
108
108
36
36
Winners
34
34
36
36
Avg Winners​
34
34
35%
35%
Ratio winners
31%
31%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
3
3
4
4
Avg Aces
3
3
6
6
Double Faults
2
2
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
2
2
36/58
36/58
1st won total​
34/52
34/52
62%
62%
1st won %
65%
65%
19/40
19/40
2nd won total​
26/49
26/49
48%
48%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
6/15
6/15
BP won
7/13
7/13
6/15
6/15
Avg BP won
7/13
7/13
40%
40%
Won
!
54%
54%
13
13
Conceded
10
10
13
13
Avg Conceded
10
10
4
4
Broken
5
5
4
4
Avg Broken
!
5
5
9
9
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nesterov Topo
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 31
Pts 103-99 108-95
Total Points 202 203
Winners 36 34
%Winners 35% 31%

Both Nesterov and Topo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Petr Nesterov surrendered 1 set, while Marko Topo dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Nesterov and Topo have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Nesterov played 2 games less than Topo. Petr scored 36 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Marko scored 34 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nesterov Topo
Aces 4 3
Avg per match 4 3
1st in 58/98 52/101
%1st in 59% 51%
1st pts 36/58 34/52
%1st pts 62% 65%
2nd pts 19/40 26/49
%2nd pts 48% 53%

Nesterov scored 4 aces . Topo fired 3 aces . Nesterov won 62% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Topo won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nesterov Topo
Won 6 7
Converted 6/15 7/13
% Converted 40% 54%
Conceded 13 10
Saved 9 5
% Saved 69% 50%
Times Broken 4 5

The Bulgarian broke his opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Bulgarian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Topo broke his opponent 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Serbian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Nesterov
Q1
Tabacco
Total
Score 6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 103-99 103-99
Total points 202 202
Winners 36 36
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 58/98 58/98
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 36/58 36/58
% 1st pts 62% 62%
2nd pts 19/40 19/40
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/15 6/15
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 13 13
Saved 9/13 9
Saved % 69% 69%
Times Broken 4 4
Topo
Q1
Gonzalez
Total
Score 6-3 6-76 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 108-95 108-95
Total points 203 203
Winners 34 34
%Winners 31% 31%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 52/101 52/101
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 34/52 34/52
% 1st pts 65% 65%
2nd pts 26/49 26/49
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/13 7/13
Converted % 54% 54%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 5/10 5
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 5 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nesterov
WWWWWWWWWW
Topo
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
52 - 22
21 - 24
22-7
Hard
2-2
2-2
I Hard
3-2
28-13
Clay
16-20
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw