H2H, prediction of Cristian Garin vs Elias Ymer at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 26th August 2026

PREVIEW. New York. Garin and Ymer will fight against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 26th of August

Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Elias Ymer

Cristian Garin and Elias Ymer will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 PM on Court 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.68
Elias Ymer -> 2.11

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Elias Ymer

This will be the 4th time that Cristian Garin and Elias Ymer face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Garin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Garin won 6-4 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Oeiras 5 Challenger back in 2025.

Cristian Garin

Cristian Garin
Cristian Garin

11 - 15win/loss

Hard
2-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-10
Rank
131
High
17
LLWWLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 11-17 2-6 9-11 0-0 0-0 0-0
2025 49-22 6-6 39-13 1-1 3-2 0-0
2024 21-24 3-6 13-14 1-1 4-3 0-0
2023 41-25 22-12 18-12 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 18-23 4-5 9-11 1-4 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 135, the Chilean reached the qualifications after beating Spencer Johnson 7-6(5) 4-6 7-6.

In the qualifications, Garin defeated Johnson (7-65 4-6 7-6).During the match, Garin scored less points (4) than Johnson. In fact, the world no. 135 won 127 points vs Johnson’s. That means that Garin was more focused during the important points. The Chilean was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about the service games, Garin bagged 10 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 59% of his first serves in, winning 67% (53/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (27/55) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Johnson 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Garin has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (287-211). 1-5 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Garin has an aggregate 72-71 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Garin has an overall 10-15 win-loss record in 2026, 1-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022. See his history.

Garin
U.S. Open
Garin's Record

Elias Ymer

Elias Ymer
Elias Ymer

17 - 18win/loss

Hard
9-10
I Hard
0-1
Clay
2-3
Grass
6-4
Rank
192
High
105
LLWLLWWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 20-24 12-16 2-3 0-1 6-4 0-0
2025 36-32 12-8 16-20 7-3 1-1 0-0
2024 24-32 7-15 6-9 8-7 3-1 0-0
2023 42-41 10-13 24-17 7-10 1-1 0-0
2022 39-32 12-11 20-15 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 204, the Swede got to the qualifications after defeating Franco Roncadelli 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, Elias had a good straight sets win against Roncadelli (6-4 6-3). During the match Ymer scored 64 points vs Roncadelli’s 57. The Swede was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Ymer struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 48% of his first serves in, winning 81% (25/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. The Swede was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Roncadelli 4 times.

The Swede has a compiled 17-17 win-loss record in 2026, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2015. See his history.

Ymer
U.S. Open
Ymer's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

C.Garin
E.Ymer
!
3h:14
3h:14
Time on court​
1h:30
1h:30
!
3h:14
3h:14
Last match​
1h:30
1h:30
1
1
Match played
1
1
36
36
Games Played​
19
19
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
127
127
Total points​
64
64
127
127
Avg point​
64
64
53
53
Winners
25
25
53
53
Avg Winners​
25
25
42%
42%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
7
7
10
10
Avg Aces
7
7
10
10
Double Faults
3
3
!
10
10
Avg Double Faults
3
3
53/79
53/79
1st won total​
25/31
25/31
67%
67%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
27/55
27/55
2nd won total​
15/33
15/33
49%
49%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
4/4
4/4
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
4/4
4/4
33%
33%
Won
!
100%
100%
9
9
Conceded
4
4
9
9
Avg Conceded
4
4
5
5
Broken
1
1
!
5
5
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Garin Ymer
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 36 19
Pts 127-131 64-57
Total Points 258 121
Winners 53 25
%Winners 42% 39%

Both Garin and Ymer played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Cristian Garin lost 1 set while Elias Ymer hasn’t lost a set so far. Garin has played 1 set more than Ymer (3 vs 2). Therefore, Garin played 17 games more than Ymer. Christian scored 53 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Ymer made 25 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Garin Ymer
Aces 10 7
Avg per match 10 7
1st in 79/134 31/64
%1st in 59% 48%
1st pts 53/79 25/31
%1st pts 67% 81%
2nd pts 27/55 15/33
%2nd pts 49% 45%

Garin scored 10 aces . Ymer recorded 7 aces . Garin won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Garin Ymer
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/4
% Converted 33% 100%
Conceded 9 4
Saved 4 3
% Saved 44% 75%
Times Broken 5 1

Christian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Garin dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Swede broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Garin
Q1
Johnson
Total
Score 7-65 4-6 7-6
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 36 36
pts 127-131 127-131
Total points 258 258
Winners 53 53
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 10 10
1st in 79/134 79/134
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 53/79 53/79
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 27/55 27/55
% 2nd pts 49% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 4/9 4
Saved % 44% 44%
Times Broken 5 5
Ymer
Q1
Roncadelli
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 64-57 64-57
Total points 121 121
Winners 25 25
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 31/64 31/64
% 1st in 48% 48%
1st pts 25/31 25/31
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 15/33 15/33
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/4 4/4
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Garin
WWWWWWWWWW
Ymer
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
11 - 16
20 - 24
2-6
Hard
12-16
9-10
Clay
2-3
0-0
Grass
6-4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw