Polina Kudermetova and Varvara Lepchenko will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Mubadala DC Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 10:00 am on JOHN HARRIS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Polina Kudermetova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Polina Kudermetova is the pick to win this match.
Polina Kudermetova -> 1.48
Varvara Lepchenko -> 2.43
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Polina Kudermetova vs. Varvara Lepchenko
This will be the 3rd time that Polina Kudermetova and Varvara Lepchenko face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Kudermetova and Lepchenko (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kudermetova won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Merida back in 2024.
Highlights Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenko – Merida 31-October-2024
Polina Kudermetova
32 - 15win/loss
104
54
LWWLLLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37-21 | 13-10 | 19-9 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 20-27 | 18-18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 53-35 | 28-13 | 21-14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 33-26 | 5-5 | 13-13 | 10-5 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 54-19 | 30-14 | 8-3 | 16-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 111, Polina got to the qualifications after beating Mei Yamaguchi 7-6(6) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Polina had a good straight sets win against Yamaguchi (7-66 6-4). During the match, Kudermetova scored 91 points vs Yamaguchi’s 77. Polina was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kudermetova fired 2 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Polina Kudermetova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kudermetova put 43% of her first serves in, winning 64% (23/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (21/47) on the 2nd serve. Kudermetova broke Yamaguchi 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Kudermetova has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (231-143). 7-4 on hard in 2026. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Kudermetova has a composed98-59 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Kudermetova’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra and the Oeiras.
Kudermetova has a compiled 31-15 win-loss record in 2026, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2025. See her history.
Varvara Lepchenko
15 - 19win/loss
189
19
LWLLWLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17-25 | 6-11 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-36 | 17-16 | 21-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-37 | 22-15 | 26-17 | 6-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-20 | 25-14 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 175, Varvara reached the qualifications after defeating Clervie Ngounoue 6-1 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Lepchenko defeated Ngounoue (6-1 4-6 6-4). During the match Lepchenko scored 89 points vs Ngounoue’s 82. Lepchenko was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Lepchenko scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Varvara Lepchenko lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Lepchenko put 65% of her first serves in, winning 74% (37/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Varvara broke Ngounoue 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Varvara has an overall 15-18 win-loss record in 2026, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2011. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kudermetova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 27 |
| Pts | 91-77 | 89-82 |
| Total Points | 168 | 171 |
| Winners | 23 | 37 |
| %Winners | 25% | 42% |
Both Kudermetova and Lepchenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Varvara Lepchenko conceded 1 set while Polina Kudermetova hasn’t lost a set so far. Kudermetova has played 1 set(s) less than Lepchenko (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kudermetova played 4 games less than Lepchenko. Polina scored 23 winners (25% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 37 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kudermetova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 36/83 | 50/77 |
| %1st in | 43% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 23/36 | 37/50 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 13/27 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 48% |
Kudermetova scored 2 aces . Lepchenko recorded 1 ace . Kudermetova won 64% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Lepchenko won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kudermetova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 55% | 63% |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
The Uzbek broke her opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Polina lost her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kudermetova | |||
| Q1 Yamaguchi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 91-77 | 91-77 | |
| Total points | 168 | 168 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 25% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 36/83 | 36/83 | |
| % 1st in | 43% | 43% | |
| 1st pts | 23/36 | 23/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 21/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Lepchenko | |||
| Q1 Ngounoue |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 89-82 | 89-82 | |
| Total points | 171 | 171 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 50/77 | 50/77 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 37/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 13/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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