Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Llamas Ruiz will square off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on BNP PARIBAS ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.38
Pablo Llamas Ruiz -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz
There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Llamas Ruiz since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-16 | 23-8 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Tomas Machac w/o.
In the 2nd round, Medvedev defeated Machac (w/o). During the match, Medvedev and Machac scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 9 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Russian was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Daniil Medvedev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Medvedev has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (450-185). 2-2 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate 46-35 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Brisbane where he overcame Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 7-6(1) and in Dubai where he defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the final w/o.
Daniil has a compiled 21-7 win-loss record in 2026, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
24 - 9win/loss
140
116
LWLWWLWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36-21 | 9-10 | 23-8 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-21 | 5-5 | 23-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-16 | 2-5 | 10-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-21 | 12-6 | 33-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-23 | 2-4 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after beating Henrique Rocha 4-6 6-3 6-1, Jaime Faria 3-6 6-2 6-3, Ethan Quinn 6-3 5-7 6-3 and Corentin Moutet 6-4 3-6 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard defeated Moutet (6-4 3-6 7-64). During the match Llamas scored 105 points vs Moutet’s 101. Llamas was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Llamas was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Pablo Llamas Ruiz lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Llamas put 73% of his first serves in, winning 62% (44/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Moutet 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Rome - Pablo Llamas Ruiz's projected path
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Alicante Challenger where he beat Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-4 6-2.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 24-9 win-loss record in 2026, 17-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Llamas has never competed in this tournament before.
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexander BlockxBlockx (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Learner TienTien – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-67 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dino PrizmicPrizmic – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Tommy PaulPaul (3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (5-7 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (2-1) – H2H and prediction
