Cristian Garin and Jan Choinski will face off in the qualifications of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 10:00 am on COURT 14. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.51
Jan Choinski -> 2.35
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Jan Choinski
This will be the 2nd time that Cristian Garin and Jan Choinski clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Garin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Garin won 6-2 6-7(5) 6-1 in the 1st round in the Braga Challenger back in 2024.
Cristian Garin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11-17 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 49-22 | 6-6 | 39-13 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 104, the Chilean got to the qualifications after defeating Moez Echargui 6-0 6-2.
In the qualifications, Christian had a good straight sets win against Echargui (6-0 6-2). During the match, Garin scored 64 points vs Echargui’s 43. The Chilean was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Garin managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Cristian Garin conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 60% of his first serves in, winning 81% (22/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Echargui 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Garin has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (284-207). 7-6 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Garin has a composed 181-106 match record in the last years on clay.
Garin has an overall 7-11 win-loss record in 2026, 7-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Jan Choinski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-24 | 3-7 | 24-12 | 2-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 40-27 | 0-4 | 31-15 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-33 | 4-4 | 24-16 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 122, the Brit reached the qualifications after beating Dusan Lajovic 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, Jan had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (7-5 6-4). During the match Choinski scored 73 points vs Lajovic’s 70. Choinski was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Choinski fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan Choinski was pretty effective on serve to win 71% (39/55) of his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jan broke Lajovic twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
The Brit has an aggregate 9-13 win-loss record in 2026, 4-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 22 |
| Pts | 64-43 | 73-70 |
| Total Points | 107 | 143 |
| Winners | 22 | 39 |
| %Winners | 34% | 53% |
Both Garin and Choinski played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Garin and Choinski have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Garin played 8 games less than Choinski. The Chilean scored 22 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Jan managed to score 39 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 27/45 | 55/76 |
| %1st in | 60% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 39/55 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 12/21 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 57% |
Garin struck 3 aces . Choinski blasted 3 aces . Garin won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Chilean broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Chilean had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. Choinski broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Jan was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Garin | |||
| Q1 Echargui |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 64-43 | 64-43 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/45 | 27/45 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 22/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 9/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Choinski | |||
| Q1 Lajovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 73-70 | 73-70 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 55/76 | 55/76 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 39/55 | 39/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 12/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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