Hubert Hurkacz and Matteo Berrettini will play each other in the quarter of the Cagliari Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.84
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.84
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 5th time that Hubert Hurkacz and Matteo Berrettini square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Berrettini won 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the quarter in Australia back in 2023.
Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkacz – Australia 04-January-2023
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25-19 | 13-9 | 8-5 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 15-11 | 4-5 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 63, Hubert reached the quarter after beating Zachary Svajda 6-2 7-6(8) and Emilio Nava 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Nava (6-4 6-1). During the match, Hurkacz scored 59 points vs Nava’s 36. Hubert was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Hurkacz struck 12 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Hubert Hurkacz was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Pole broke Nava 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
ATP Cagliari Challenger - Hubert Hurkacz's projected path
Hurkacz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (348-210). 5-2 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Hurkacz has a composed 79-49 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where he overcame Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
Hubert has an overall 10-10 win-loss record in 2026, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cagliari Challenger
The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Berrettini
10 - 8win/loss
43
6
LWLWLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-16 | 5-5 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 22-17 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 92, Matteo got to the quarter after defeating Patrick Kypson 6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(5) and Mariano Navone 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Navone (7-5 6-3). During the match Berrettini scored 71 points vs Navone’s 56. Berrettini was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Berrettini bagged 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was pretty efficient on serve to win 88% (29/33) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matteo broke Navone 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Cagliari Challenger - Matteo Berrettini's projected path
The Italian has a composed 10-8 win-loss record in 2026, 7-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 57 |
| Pts | 133-96 | 181-162 |
| Total Points | 229 | 343 |
| Winners | 51 | 80 |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% |
Both Hurkacz and Berrettini played 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set while Hubert Hurkacz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Hurkacz has played 1 set(s) less than Berrettini (4 vs 5). Therefore, Hurkacz played 19 games less than Berrettini. The Pole scored 51 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo scored 80 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 11.5 | 10.5 |
| 1st in | 63/110 | 99/175 |
| %1st in | 57% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 51/63 | 80/99 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 31/47 | 41/76 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 54% |
Hurkacz blasted 23 aces (11.5 per match). Berrettini struck 21 aces (10.5 per match). Hurkacz won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hurkacz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/11 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 64% | 60% |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Pole broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Hubert dropped his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Berrettini conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hurkacz | ||||
| R1 Svajda |
R2 Nava |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-68 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 17 | 38 | |
| pts | 74-60 | 59-36 | 133-96 | |
| Total points | 134 | 95 | 229 | |
| Winners | 29 | 22 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 12 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/67 | 27/43 | 63/110 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 63% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 22/27 | 51/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 13/16 | 31/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 81% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/7 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 57% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Kypson |
R2 Navone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-75 7-65 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 21 | 57 | |
| pts | 110-106 | 71-56 | 181-162 | |
| Total points | 216 | 127 | 343 | |
| Winners | 51 | 29 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 6 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 66/115 | 33/60 | 99/175 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 55% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 51/66 | 29/33 | 80/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 88% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/49 | 14/27 | 41/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 52% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/6 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 50% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-1) – H2H and prediction
