H2H, prediction of Cristian Garin vs Martin Damm in Madrid with odds, preview, pick | 21st April 2026

PREVIEW. Madrid. Garin and Damm will play each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Tuesday the 21st of April

Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Martin Damm

Cristian Garin and Martin Damm will square off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.38
Martin Damm -> 2.76

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Bonus

Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Martin Damm

There is no head to head record between Cristian Garin and Martin Damm since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Cristian Garin

Cristian Garin
Cristian Garin

5 - 8win/loss

Hard
0-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-3
Rank
131
High
17
LLWWLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 11-17 2-6 9-11 0-0 0-0 0-0
2025 49-22 6-6 39-13 1-1 3-2 0-0
2024 21-24 3-6 13-14 1-1 4-3 0-0
2023 41-25 22-12 18-12 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 18-23 4-5 9-11 1-4 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 85, Garin got to the qualifications after beating Ugo Blanchet 7-5 6-4.

In the qualifications, Christian had a good straight sets win against Blanchet (7-5 6-4). During the match, Garin scored 84 points vs Blanchet’s 75. Garin was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Garin made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Cristian Garin lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 56% of his first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Blanchet 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Garin has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (282-204). 5-3 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Garin has an aggregate 179-103 match record in the last years on clay.

Christian has a compiled 5-8 win-loss record in 2026, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Garin
Madrid
Garin's Record

Martin Damm

Martin Damm
Martin Damm

12 - 10win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
6-3
Clay
1-2
Rank
104
High
90
LLLWLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 31-27 11-13 7-6 6-3 7-5 0-0
2025 52-20 36-13 0-2 16-5 0-0 0-0
2024 15-20 7-7 1-5 7-8 0-0 0-0
2023 52-29 30-14 9-8 13-7 0-0 0-0
2022 32-23 17-12 10-6 5-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 126, the American reached the qualifications after beating Andrea Pellegrino 6-0 7-6(5).

In the qualifications, Damm had a good straight sets win against Pellegrino (6-0 7-65). During the match Damm scored 69 points vs Pellegrino’s 51. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Damm scored 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Martin Damm was very effective on serve to win 91% (30/33) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Damm broke Pellegrino 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Damm’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier.

Martin has a compiled 12-10 win-loss record in 2026, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Damm
Madrid
Damm's Record
Bonus
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

C.Garin
M.Damm
1h:53
1h:53
Time on court​
1h:19
1h:19
1h:53
1h:53
Last match​
1h:19
1h:19
1
1
Match played
1
1
22
22
Games Played​
19
19
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
84
84
Total points​
69
69
84
84
Avg point​
69
69
32
32
Winners
30
30
32
32
Avg Winners​
30
30
38%
38%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
12
12
5
5
Avg Aces
!
12
12
1
1
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
5
5
32/47
32/47
1st won total​
30/33
30/33
68%
68%
1st won %
!
91%
91%
19/37
19/37
2nd won total​
13/24
13/24
51%
51%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
4/11
4/11
BP won
3/5
3/5
4/11
4/11
Avg BP won
3/5
3/5
36%
36%
Won
!
60%
60%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
4
4
2
2
Broken
0
0
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0
0
4
4
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Garin Damm
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 19
Pts 84-75 69-51
Total Points 159 120
Winners 32 30
%Winners 38% 43%

Both Garin and Damm played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Garin and Damm have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Garin played 3 games more than Damm. Christian scored 32 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Martin struck 30 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Garin Damm
Aces 5 12
Avg per match 5 12
1st in 47/84 33/57
%1st in 56% 58%
1st pts 32/47 30/33
%1st pts 68% 91%
2nd pts 19/37 13/24
%2nd pts 51% 54%

Garin blasted 5 aces . Damm recorded 12 aces . Garin won 68% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Damm won 91% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Garin Damm
Won 4 3
Converted 4/11 3/5
% Converted 36% 60%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 4 4
% Saved 67% 100%
Times Broken 2 0

Garin broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Garin surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Martin broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Garin
Q1
Blanchet
Total
Score 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 84-75 84-75
Total points 159 159
Winners 32 32
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 47/84 47/84
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 32/47 32/47
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 19/37 19/37
% 2nd pts 51% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/11 4/11
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Damm
Q1
Pellegrino
Total
Score 6-0 7-65
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 69-51 69-51
Total points 120 120
Winners 30 30
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 33/57 33/57
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 30/33 30/33
% 1st pts 91% 91%
2nd pts 13/24 13/24
% 2nd pts 54% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 4/4 4
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Garin
WWWWWWWWWW
Damm
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
11 - 16
31 - 27
2-6
Hard
11-13
0-0
I Hard
6-3
9-10
Clay
7-6
0-0
Grass
7-5
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw