Cristian Garin and Martin Damm will face off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.38
Martin Damm -> 2.76
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Martin Damm
There is no head to head record between Cristian Garin and Martin Damm since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Cristian Garin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11-17 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 49-22 | 6-6 | 39-13 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 85, Christian got to the qualifications after defeating Ugo Blanchet 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Blanchet (7-5 6-4). During the match, Garin scored 84 points vs Blanchet’s 75. The Chilean was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Garin blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Cristian Garin lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 56% of his first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the 2nd serve. Garin broke Blanchet 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Garin has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (282-204). 5-3 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Garin has a compiled 179-103 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Christian has a compiled 5-8 win-loss record in 2026, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Martin Damm
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-27 | 11-13 | 7-6 | 6-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 52-20 | 36-13 | 0-2 | 16-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 15-20 | 7-7 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-29 | 30-14 | 9-8 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-23 | 17-12 | 10-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126, the American got to the qualifications after beating Andrea Pellegrino 6-0 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Pellegrino (6-0 7-65). During the match Damm scored 69 points vs Pellegrino’s 51. Damm was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Damm struck 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Martin Damm was quite effective on serve to win 91% (30/33) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Damm broke Pellegrino 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Martin’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier.
The American has an overall 12-10 win-loss record in 2026, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Martin has never competed in this tournament before.
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Garin | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 |
| Pts | 84-75 | 69-51 |
| Total Points | 159 | 120 |
| Winners | 32 | 30 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Both Garin and Damm played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Garin and Damm have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Garin played 3 games more than Damm. Garin scored 32 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Martin fired 30 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Garin | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 12 |
| 1st in | 47/84 | 33/57 |
| %1st in | 56% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 32/47 | 30/33 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 91% |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 13/24 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 54% |
Garin fired 5 aces . Damm struck 12 aces . Garin won 68% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Damm won 91% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Garin | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 36% | 60% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Chilean broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Christian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Damm broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Garin | |||
| Q1 Blanchet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 84-75 | 84-75 | |
| Total points | 159 | 159 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 47/84 | 47/84 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 32/47 | 32/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 19/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Damm | |||
| Q1 Pellegrino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 69-51 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 33/57 | 33/57 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/33 | 30/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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