Fajing Sun and Li Tu will clash against each other in the final of the Wuning 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.6
Fajing Sun -> 2.16
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Fajing Sun vs. Li Tu
This will be the 2nd time that Fajing Sun and Li Tu square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sun (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Sun won 7-5 6-1 in the 1st round in the Wuxi Challenger back in 2025.
Fajing Sun
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-25 | 25-21 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 24-24 | 24-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-27 | 42-23 | 7-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-27 | 25-22 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 32-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 244, the Chinese reached the final after beating Tai Sach 6-2 6-1, Khumoun Sultanov 6-4 6-2, Giles Hussey 6-2 3-6 6-2 and Sergey Fomin 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Fomin (6-4 6-4). During the match, Sun scored 64 points vs Fomin’s 47. Sun was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sun fired 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Fajing Sun was quite efficient on serve to win 90% (26/29) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chinese broke Fomin 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese has lost 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
ATP Wuning 2 Challenger - Fajing Sun's projected path
Sun has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (248-181). 13-9 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sun has a compiled 222-153 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Sun’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Wuning 1 Challenger and the Wuning 2 Challenger.
Sun has a compiled 14-10 win-loss record in 2026, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Wuning 2 Challenger
Li Tu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-14 | 19-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 17-23 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-28 | 37-21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 381, Tu reached the final after beating Hayato Matsuoka 6-3 7-6(5), Keegan Smith 3-6 7-5 7-6(9), Blake Ellis 6-3 6-3 and Charles Broom 6-3 1-6 7-6(6).
In the semifinal, Tu defeated Broom (6-3 1-6 7-66).During the match Tu scored less points (2) than Broom. In fact, the world no. 244 won 92 points vs Broom’s. That means that Tu was more focused during the important points. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Tu scored 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Li Tu was quite effective on serve to win 74% (39/53) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Australian broke Broom twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Wuning 2 Challenger - Li Tu's projected path
Li’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Burnie.
Tu has an aggregate 19-8 win-loss record in 2026, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sun | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 103 |
| Pts | 272-204 | 350-329 |
| Total Points | 476 | 679 |
| Winners | 104 | 154 |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% |
Both Sun and Tu played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Fajing Sun surrendered 1 set, while Li Tu surrendered 2 sets. Sun has played 1 set(s) less than Tu (9 vs 10). Therefore, Sun played 25 games less than Tu. Sun scored 104 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Tu managed to score 154 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sun | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 46 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 11.5 |
| 1st in | 132/240 | 199/326 |
| %1st in | 55% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 104/132 | 154/199 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 62/108 | 68/127 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 54% |
Sun bagged 17 aces (4.3 per match). Tu managed to score 46 aces (11.5 per match). Sun won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sun | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 9 |
| Converted | 15/24 | 9/28 |
| % Converted | 63% | 32% |
| Conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Saved | 12 | 8 |
| % Saved | 80% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Sun broke his opponents 15 times with a 63% conversion rate. Fajing dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Tu broke his opponents 9 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sun | ||||||
| R1 Sach |
R2 Sultanov |
1/4 Hussey |
1/2 Fomin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 | 25 | 20 | 78 | |
| pts | 59-34 | 63-47 | 86-76 | 64-47 | 272-204 | |
| Total points | 93 | 110 | 162 | 111 | 476 | |
| Winners | 23 | 19 | 36 | 26 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 30% | 42% | 41% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 28/51 | 25/54 | 50/88 | 29/47 | 132/240 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 46% | 57% | 62% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 19/25 | 36/50 | 26/29 | 104/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 76% | 72% | 90% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 20/29 | 16/38 | 12/18 | 62/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 69% | 42% | 67% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 3/6 | 5/9 | 3/4 | 15/24 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 50% | 56% | 75% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 1/1 | 7/9 | 0/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 78% | 0% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tu | ||||||
| R1 Matsuoka |
R2 Smith |
1/4 Ellis |
1/2 Broom |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | 3-6 7-5 7-69 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 1-6 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 34 | 18 | 29 | 103 | |
| pts | 70-60 | 119-117 | 69-58 | 92-94 | 350-329 | |
| Total points | 130 | 236 | 127 | 186 | 679 | |
| Winners | 31 | 52 | 32 | 39 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | 46% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 46 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 39/67 | 67/110 | 40/67 | 53/82 | 199/326 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 61% | 60% | 65% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 52/67 | 32/40 | 39/53 | 154/199 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 78% | 80% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 25/43 | 12/27 | 15/29 | 68/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 58% | 44% | 52% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 1/10 | 3/5 | 2/9 | 9/28 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 10% | 60% | 22% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/2 | 5/5 | 1/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 100% | 25% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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- Fajing SunSun – Li TuTu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
