Li Tu and Blake Ellis will clash against each other in the quarter of the Wuning 2 Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.43
Blake Ellis -> 2.58
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. Blake Ellis
This will be the 4th time that Li Tu and Blake Ellis play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Tu (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Tu won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Brisbane 2 Challenger back in February 2026.
Li Tu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21-16 | 19-12 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 17-23 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-28 | 37-21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 381, Li reached the quarter after defeating Hayato Matsuoka 6-3 7-6(5) and Keegan Smith 3-6 7-5 7-6(9).
In the 2nd round against Smith, Tu recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-69). During the match, Tu scored 119 points vs Smith’s 117. Tu was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tu scored 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Li Tu was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (52/67) of his 1st serve and 58% (25/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tu broke Smith once after converting 10% of his break points (1/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tu has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
ATP Wuning 2 Challenger - Li Tu's projected path
Tu has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (206-124). 17-8 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tu has an overall156-85 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Tu’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Burnie.
Li has an overall 17-8 win-loss record in 2026, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Wuning 2 Challenger
Blake Ellis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21-20 | 21-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 16-11 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-31 | 41-26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-29 | 43-25 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 531, Blake reached the quarter after beating Linang Xiao 4-6 7-6(6) 6-4 and Mikhail Kukushkin 6-3 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round, Ellis had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (6-3 7-65). During the match Ellis scored 76 points vs Kukushkin’s 68. Blake was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Ellis fired 19 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Blake Ellis was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (35/42) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Blake broke Kukushkin once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Blake has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
ATP Wuning 2 Challenger - Blake Ellis's projected path
The Australian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger,the Brisbane 1 Challenger and the Miyazaki Challenger.
Blake has a compiled 12-7 win-loss record in 2026, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tu | Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 55 |
| Pts | 189-177 | 187-179 |
| Total Points | 366 | 366 |
| Winners | 83 | 89 |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% |
Both Tu and Ellis played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Li Tu dropped 1 set, while Blake Ellis dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Tu and Ellis have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Tu played 1 game more than Ellis. Li scored 83 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Blake struck 89 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tu | Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 37 |
| Avg per match | 11.5 | 18.5 |
| 1st in | 106/177 | 105/188 |
| %1st in | 60% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 83/106 | 89/105 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 41/71 | 40/83 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 48% |
Tu recorded 23 aces (11.5 per match). Ellis fired 37 aces (18.5 per match). Tu won 78% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Ellis won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tu | Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/14 | 3/14 |
| % Converted | 29% | 21% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Australian broke his opponents 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 3 times with a 21% conversion rate. Ellis conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tu | ||||
| R1 Matsuoka |
R2 Smith |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | 3-6 7-5 7-69 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 34 | 56 | |
| pts | 70-60 | 119-117 | 189-177 | |
| Total points | 130 | 236 | 366 | |
| Winners | 31 | 52 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 15 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 39/67 | 67/110 | 106/177 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 61% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 52/67 | 83/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 25/43 | 41/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 1/10 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 10% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Ellis | ||||
| R1 Xiao |
R2 Kukushkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-66 6-4 | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 22 | 55 | |
| pts | 111-111 | 76-68 | 187-179 | |
| Total points | 222 | 144 | 366 | |
| Winners | 54 | 35 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 63/112 | 42/76 | 105/188 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 55% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 54/63 | 35/42 | 89/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 83% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/49 | 18/34 | 40/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 53% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 1/5 | 3/14 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 20% | 21% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 4/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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