H2H, prediction of Keegan Smith vs Li Tu in Wuning 2 Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 16th April 2026

PREVIEW. Wuning 2 Challenger. Smith and Tu will play each other in the 2nd round of the Wuning 2 Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 16th of April

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Li Tu

Keegan Smith and Li Tu will face off in the 2nd round of the Wuning 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.62
Keegan Smith -> 2.13

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Bonus

Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Li Tu

This will be the 2nd time that Keegan Smith and Li Tu play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Smith (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Smith won 6-7(5) 6-0 6-3 in the 1st round in the Lexington Challenger back in 2022.

Keegan Smith

Keegan Smith
Keegan Smith

18 - 10win/loss

Hard
2-4
I Hard
16-6
Rank
202
High
192
LLWWLWLLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 39-27 13-14 4-2 18-7 4-4 0-0
2025 51-22 34-12 0-0 17-10 0-0 0-0
2024 39-26 36-21 0-1 3-4 0-0 0-0
2023 35-26 31-20 0-0 4-6 0-0 0-0
2022 30-24 26-14 3-4 1-6 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 301 (career-high), Smith got to the 2nd round after defeating Enzo Aguiard 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Aguiard (6-4 6-4). During the match, Smith scored 76 points vs Aguiard’s 62. The American was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Smith made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Keegan Smith conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 82% of his first serves in, winning 76% (41/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Keegan broke Aguiard twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Smith has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (232-137). 2-4 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Smith has an aggregate 177-95 record in the last years on hard.

Keegan’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Salem.

Keegan has an aggregate 18-10 win-loss record in 2026, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Wuning 2 Challenger

Smith
Wuning 2 Challenger
Smith's Record

Li Tu

Li Tu
Li Tu

16 - 8win/loss

Hard
16-8
I Hard
0-0
Rank
527
High
160
LWWLLLLLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 21-16 19-12 0-3 2-1 0-0 0-0
2025 17-23 11-17 0-1 0-0 6-5 0-0
2024 43-28 37-21 1-1 1-1 4-5 0-0
2023 38-32 29-19 0-3 3-6 6-4 0-0
2022 50-25 34-16 15-6 1-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 381, Tu reached the 2nd round after defeating Hayato Matsuoka 6-3 7-6(5).

In the 1st round, Tu had a good straight sets win against Matsuoka (6-3 7-65). During the match Tu scored 70 points vs Matsuoka’s 60. Li was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Tu blasted 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Li Tu was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Li broke Matsuoka 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

The Australian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Burnie.

The Australian has an overall 16-8 win-loss record in 2026, 16-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tu
Wuning 2 Challenger
Tu's Record
Bonus
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

K.Smith
L.Tu
1h:32
1h:32
Time on court​
1h:35
1h:35
1h:32
1h:32
Last match​
1h:35
1h:35
1
1
Match played
1
1
20
20
Games Played​
22
22
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
76
76
Total points​
70
70
76
76
Avg point​
70
70
41
41
Winners
31
31
41
41
Avg Winners​
31
31
54%
54%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
8
8
5
5
Avg Aces
8
8
1
1
Double Faults
2
2
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
41/54
41/54
1st won total​
31/39
31/39
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
6/12
6/12
2nd won total​
16/28
16/28
50%
50%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
2/5
2/5
BP won
3/4
3/4
2/5
2/5
Avg BP won
3/4
3/4
40%
40%
Won
!
75%
75%
2
2
Conceded
2
2
2
2
Avg Conceded
2
2
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
1
1
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Smith Tu
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 22
Pts 76-62 70-60
Total Points 138 130
Winners 41 31
%Winners 54% 44%

Both Smith and Tu played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Smith and Tu have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Smith played 2 games less than Tu. Keegan scored 41 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Li bagged 31 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Smith Tu
Aces 5 8
Avg per match 5 8
1st in 54/66 39/67
%1st in 82% 58%
1st pts 41/54 31/39
%1st pts 76% 79%
2nd pts 6/12 16/28
%2nd pts 50% 57%

Smith struck 5 aces . Tu made 8 aces . Smith won 76% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Smith Tu
Won 2 3
Converted 2/5 3/4
% Converted 40% 75%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2 1
% Saved 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 1

Smith broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Smith quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Li broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Li conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Smith
R1
Aguiard		 Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 76-62 76-62
Total points 138 138
Winners 41 41
%Winners 54% 54%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 54/66 54/66
% 1st in 82% 82%
1st pts 41/54 41/54
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 6/12 6/12
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/5 2/5
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Tu
R1
Matsuoka		 Total
Score 6-3 7-65
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 70-60 70-60
Total points 130 130
Winners 31 31
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 39/67 39/67
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 31/39 31/39
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 16/28 16/28
% 2nd pts 57% 57%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/4 3/4
Converted % 75% 75%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Keegan Smith
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 1Chall
  • 6Minor
Li Tu
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 1Chall
  • 9Minor

Keegan
Smith

1:1

Li
Tu

Rank

202

High

192

1Hard1

Rank

527

High

160

Win Loss
Smith
WWWWWWWWWW
Tu
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
39 - 27
21 - 16
13-14
Hard
19-12
18-7
I Hard
2-1
4-2
Clay
0-3
4-4
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Wuning 2 Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Smith Keegan Smith
More Stats
Click here
Tu Li Tu