James Duckworth and Stefano Napolitano will play each other in the final of the Mexico City Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is James Duckworth who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, James Duckworth is the pick to win this match.
James Duckworth -> 1.56
Stefano Napolitano -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head James Duckworth vs. Stefano Napolitano
This will be the 2nd time that James Duckworth and Stefano Napolitano square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Napolitano (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Napolitano won 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the 3rd round in the Zhangjiagang Challenger back in 2019.
James Duckworth
14 - 11win/loss
65
46
LLWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-24 | 13-14 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 46-34 | 25-20 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-29 | 23-14 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 10-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-28 | 43-21 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-27 | 20-18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 86, the Australian reached the final after beating Michael Mmoh 6-4 6-3, Stefan Kozlov 6-3 6-2, Beibit Zhukayev 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Tibo Colson 7-6(7) 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Colson (7-67 6-4). During the match, Duckworth scored 71 points vs Colson’s 68. Duckworth was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Duckworth recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. James Duckworth was very efficient on serve to win 76% (35/46) of his 1st serve and 71% (22/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. James was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Colson once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Duckworth has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
ATP Mexico City Challenger - James Duckworth's projected path
Duckworth has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (294-205). 8-2 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Duckworth has a compiled 31-24 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Australian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the San Luis Potosi Challenger.
Duckworth has a compiled 13-11 win-loss record in 2026, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Stefano Napolitano
19 - 7win/loss
279
121
LWLLLLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-21 | 7-6 | 16-13 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 19-19 | 2-5 | 12-10 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 10-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-23 | 9-6 | 38-13 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-24 | 1-1 | 20-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 302, Napolitano got to the final after beating Andres Martin 6-4 6-4, Matias Soto 6-1 7-6(8), Tristan Schoolkate 3-6 6-1 6-4 and Luka Pavlovic 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Stefano had a good straight sets win against Pavlovic (6-3 6-4). During the match Napolitano scored 75 points vs Pavlovic’s 59. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Napolitano bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Stefano Napolitano was very effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Pavlovic 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stefano has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Mexico City Challenger - Stefano Napolitano's projected path
Stefano’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Kigali 1 Challenger.
Stefano has an aggregate 19-6 win-loss record in 2026, 12-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Duckworth | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 85 |
| Pts | 294-249 | 311-250 |
| Total Points | 543 | 561 |
| Winners | 133 | 102 |
| %Winners | 45% | 33% |
Both Duckworth and Napolitano played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. James Duckworth conceded 1 set, while Stefano Napolitano lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Duckworth and Napolitano have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Duckworth played 3 games more than Napolitano. The Australian scored 133 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Stefano scored 102 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Duckworth | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 172/279 | 138/265 |
| %1st in | 62% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 133/172 | 102/138 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 67/107 | 80/127 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 63% |
Duckworth recorded 26 aces (6.5 per match). Napolitano scored 19 aces (4.8 per match). Duckworth won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Napolitano won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Duckworth | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 14 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 14/35 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Saved | 13 | 11 |
| % Saved | 87% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Duckworth broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. Stefano conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Duckworth | ||||||
| R1 Mmoh |
R2 Kozlov |
1/4 Zhukayev |
1/2 Colson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-67 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 29 | 23 | 88 | |
| pts | 64-49 | 63-45 | 96-87 | 71-68 | 294-249 | |
| Total points | 113 | 108 | 183 | 139 | 543 | |
| Winners | 31 | 27 | 40 | 35 | 133 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% | 42% | 49% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/56 | 34/56 | 54/90 | 46/77 | 172/279 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 61% | 60% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 27/34 | 40/54 | 35/46 | 133/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 79% | 74% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/22 | 21/36 | 22/31 | 67/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 55% | 58% | 71% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/6 | 3/8 | 1/1 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 38% | 100% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 5/7 | 4/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 71% | 100% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Napolitano | ||||||
| R1 Martin |
R2 Soto |
1/4 Schoolkate |
1/2 Pavlovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 7-68 | 3-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 26 | 19 | 85 | |
| pts | 70-53 | 77-59 | 89-79 | 75-59 | 311-250 | |
| Total points | 123 | 136 | 168 | 134 | 561 | |
| Winners | 21 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 32% | 38% | 29% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 26/51 | 39/70 | 45/79 | 28/65 | 138/265 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 56% | 57% | 43% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 25/39 | 34/45 | 22/28 | 102/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 64% | 76% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/25 | 24/31 | 18/34 | 20/37 | 80/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 77% | 53% | 54% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/5 | 4/8 | 4/12 | 14/35 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 60% | 50% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/4 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 67% | 67% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Santiago Gonzalez/Ryan SeggermanGonzalez/Ryan Seggerman – Diego Hidalgo/Patrik TrhacHidalgo/Patrik Trhac (6-4 4-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (0-1) – H2H and prediction
