Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev will fight against each other in the semifinal of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 13th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.178
Alexander Zverev -> 4.85
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev
This will be the 13th time that Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev play each other. The head to head is 8-4 for Sinner (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 6-3 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Miami back in March 2026.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev – Miami 27-March-2026
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-3 | 19-2 | 18-1 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Jannik got to the semifinal after defeating Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-0, Tomas Machac 6-1 6-7(3) 6-3 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 65 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 48. Sinner was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Auger-Aliassime twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Jannik Sinner's projected path
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 77% of his matches (426-129). 3-0 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an overall99-40 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(6) 7-6(4) and in Miami where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Italian has a composed 22-2 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 53-13 | 24-7 | 20-4 | 0-0 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 57-25 | 24-9 | 18-7 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Zverev reached the semifinal after defeating Cristian Garin 4-6 6-4 7-5, Zizou Bergs 6-2 7-5 and Joao Fonseca 7-5 6-7(3) 6-3.
In the quarter, Alexander defeated Fonseca (7-5 6-73 6-3). During the match Zverev scored 104 points vs Fonseca’s 97. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Zverev scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was very effective on serve to win 72% (50/69) of his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Zverev broke Fonseca 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zverev has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Alexander Zverev's projected path
Zverev’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in at the Australian Open , Indian Wells and Miami.
The German has an aggregate 18-5 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018 and 2022. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 86 |
| Pts | 212-149 | 282-253 |
| Total Points | 361 | 535 |
| Winners | 78 | 121 |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% |
Both Sinner and Zverev played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 1 set, while Alexander Zverev surrendered 2 sets. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Zverev (7 vs 8). Therefore, Sinner played 23 games less than Zverev. The Italian scored 78 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 121 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 99/169 | 176/268 |
| %1st in | 59% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 78/99 | 121/176 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 43/70 | 51/92 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 55% |
Sinner made 13 aces (4.3 per match). Zverev made 16 aces (5.3 per match). Sinner won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 14 |
| Converted | 14/24 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 58% | 54% |
| Conceded | 5 | 18 |
| Saved | 3 | 10 |
| % Saved | 60% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
Jannik broke his opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||
| R2 Humbert |
R3 Machac |
1/4 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-1 6-73 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 29 | 19 | 63 | |
| pts | 55-29 | 92-72 | 65-48 | 212-149 | |
| Total points | 84 | 164 | 113 | 361 | |
| Winners | 21 | 31 | 26 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 43/75 | 33/57 | 99/169 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 57% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 31/43 | 26/33 | 78/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 72% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 19/32 | 17/24 | 43/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 59% | 71% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 7/11 | 2/5 | 14/24 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 64% | 40% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Zverev | |||||
| R2 Garin |
R3 Bergs |
1/4 Fonseca |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 7-5 | 7-5 6-73 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 20 | 34 | 86 | |
| pts | 106-99 | 72-57 | 104-97 | 282-253 | |
| Total points | 205 | 129 | 201 | 535 | |
| Winners | 46 | 25 | 50 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% | 48% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 68/108 | 39/56 | 69/104 | 176/268 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 70% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 46/68 | 25/39 | 50/69 | 121/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 64% | 72% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/40 | 11/17 | 19/35 | 51/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 65% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 57% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 33% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-5 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Christian Harrison/Neal SkupskiHarrison/Neal Skupski (6-4 3-6 11-9) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Guido Andreozzi/Manuel GuinardAndreozzi/Manuel Guinard – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (6-4 4-6 10-8) – See score progression
- Hugo Nys/Edouard Roger-VasselinNys/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alexander BublikBublik (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alexander BublikBublik (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-5 6-7(3) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jannik SinnerSinner (4-8) – H2H and prediction
