Alex De Minaur and Valentin Vacherot will square off in the quarter of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.5
Valentin Vacherot -> 2.58
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Valentin Vacherot
There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Valentin Vacherot since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-18 | 13-9 | 7-6 | 5-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), De Minaur got to the quarter after beating Cameron Norrie 7-6(5) 2-6 6-2 and Alexander Blockx 7-5 7-6(4).
In the 3rd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Blockx (7-5 7-64). During the match, De Minaur scored 76 points vs Blockx’s 69. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur struck 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. De Minaur broke Blockx twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 50% of the points he played.
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Alex De Minaur's projected path
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (377-214). 2-0 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has an overall 51-46 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Australian has an aggregate 14-5 win-loss record in 2026, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Valentin Vacherot
13 - 7win/loss
21
16
LWWLLLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18-14 | 10-10 | 6-4 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 45-24 | 18-9 | 24-12 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-13 | 19-3 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-32 | 6-4 | 49-25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-22 | 27-12 | 18-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23 (career-high), the Monegasque got to the quarter after beating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 5-7 6-2 6-1, Lorenzo Musetti 7-6(6) 7-5 and Hubert Hurkacz 6-7(4) 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Hurkacz, Vacherot recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-3 6-4). During the match Vacherot scored 112 points vs Hurkacz’s 104. The Monegasque was pretty aggressive to blast 57 winners.
About the serving games, Vacherot recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Valentin Vacherot lost the serve twice and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Vacherot put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (57/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (19/43) on the 2nd serve. Vacherot broke Hurkacz 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Valentin has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Valentin Vacherot's projected path
The Monegasque has a composed 13-7 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2025. See his history.
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 84 |
| Pts | 166-164 | 302-261 |
| Total Points | 330 | 563 |
| Winners | 61 | 131 |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% |
De Minaur played 2 matches while Vacherot competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set, while Valentin Vacherot surrendered 2 sets. De Minaur has played 3 set(s) less than Vacherot (5 vs 8). Therefore, De Minaur played 30 games less than Vacherot. Alex scored 61 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Vacherot scored 131 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 81/163 | 175/279 |
| %1st in | 50% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 61/81 | 131/175 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 42/82 | 50/104 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 48% |
De Minaur blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Vacherot scored 14 aces (4.7 per match). De Minaur won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Vacherot won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 13 |
| Converted | 7/11 | 13/35 |
| % Converted | 64% | 37% |
| Conceded | 12 | 26 |
| Saved | 6 | 19 |
| % Saved | 50% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 7 |
Alex broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. De Minaur surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Vacherot broke his opponents 13 times with a 37% conversion rate. Vacherot conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | ||||
| R2 Norrie |
R3 Blockx |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 2-6 6-2 | 7-5 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 25 | 54 | |
| pts | 90-95 | 76-69 | 166-164 | |
| Total points | 185 | 145 | 330 | |
| Winners | 29 | 32 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 40/93 | 41/70 | 81/163 | |
| % 1st in | 43% | 59% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 32/41 | 61/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/53 | 19/29 | 42/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 66% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/3 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 67% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 2/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 67% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Vacherot | |||||
| R1 Manuel |
R2 Musetti |
R3 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | 7-66 7-5 | 6-74 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 25 | 32 | 84 | |
| pts | 101-80 | 89-77 | 112-104 | 302-261 | |
| Total points | 181 | 166 | 216 | 563 | |
| Winners | 40 | 34 | 57 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 51% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 55/88 | 43/71 | 77/120 | 175/279 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 61% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/55 | 34/43 | 57/77 | 131/175 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 79% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 15/28 | 19/43 | 50/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 54% | 44% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 3/9 | 4/8 | 13/35 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 50% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 13 | 26 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 3/5 | 11/13 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 60% | 85% | 104% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Zizou BergsBergs (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (7-5 2-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-74 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alexander BlockxBlockx (7-5 7-64) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-7(4) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alexander BlockxBlockx (7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
