H2H, prediction of Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo in Miami with odds, preview, pick | 23rd March 2026

PREVIEW. Miami. Michelsen and Tabilo will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 23rd of March

Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Alejandro Tabilo

Alex Michelsen and Alejandro Tabilo will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.444
Alejandro Tabilo -> 2.76

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Bonus

Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Alejandro Tabilo

There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Alejandro Tabilo since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen

12 - 6win/loss

Hard
11-5
I Hard
1-1
Rank
34
High
30
LWWWWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 35-20 25-10 6-7 1-1 3-2 0-0
2025 29-27 14-13 6-5 4-5 5-4 0-0
2024 45-34 26-14 4-9 8-5 7-6 0-0
2023 61-27 30-13 4-3 19-7 8-4 0-0
2022 23-10 14-8 0-1 9-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 40, Alex reached the 3rd round after beating Mattia Bellucci 6-2 6-1 and Cameron Norrie 7-5 6-7(4) 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Michelsen defeated Norrie (7-5 6-74 6-4). During the match, Michelsen scored 112 points vs Norrie’s 97. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Regarding the service games, Michelsen managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Alex Michelsen was very effective on serve to win 80% (49/61) of his 1st serve and 64% (23/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Michelsen broke Norrie 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Michelsen has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

ATP Miami - Alex Michelsen's projected path

Projected draw
QF
SF
F

Michelsen has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 62% of his matches (169-104). 10-5 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michelsen has a composed94-53 record in the last 5 years on hard.

Michelsen’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane.

The American has a compiled 11-6 win-loss record in 2026, 10-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Michelsen
Miami
Michelsen's Record

Alejandro Tabilo

Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro Tabilo

19 - 9win/loss

Hard
6-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
13-4
Rank
31
High
19
LLLWWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 37-26 12-10 25-13 0-0 0-3 0-0
2025 27-23 20-13 6-7 1-3 0-0 0-0
2024 38-27 13-8 15-10 3-7 7-2 0-0
2023 52-26 13-5 39-19 0-1 0-1 0-0
2022 33-22 7-6 23-11 0-1 3-4 0-0

Ranked no. 41, Alejandro got to the 3rd round after beating Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Rublev, The Chilean recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-2 6-4). During the match Tabilo scored 96 points vs Rublev’s 92. Tabilo was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about serving, Tabilo recorded 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alejandro Tabilo was quite effective on serve to win 77% (49/64) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alejandro broke Rublev 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tabilo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

ATP Miami - Alejandro Tabilo's projected path

Projected draw
QF
SF
F

Tabilo’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Concepcion Challenger and Rio de Janeiro.

The Chilean has an overall 19-8 win-loss record in 2026, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2025. See his history.

Tabilo
Miami
Tabilo's Record
Bonus
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Michelsen
A.Tabilo
3h:41
3h:41
Time on court​
3h:23
3h:23
!
2h:36
2h:36
Last match​
!
2h:06
2h:06
2
2
Match played
2
2
50
50
Games Played​
49
49
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
170
170
Total points​
159
159
85
85
Avg point​
79.5
79.5
83
83
Winners
80
80
41.5
41.5
Avg Winners​
40
40
49%
49%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
17
17
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
8.5
8.5
3
3
Double Faults
5
5
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
83/102
83/102
1st won total​
80/106
80/106
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
25/47
25/47
2nd won total​
26/44
26/44
53%
53%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
7/15
7/15
BP won
6/12
6/12
3.5/7.5
3.5/7.5
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
47%
47%
Won
50%
50%
11
11
Conceded
2
2
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
1
1
1
1
Broken
0
0
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
10
10
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Michelsen Tabilo
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 50 49
Pts 170-132 159-141
Total Points 302 300
Winners 83 80
%Winners 49% 50%

Both Michelsen and Tabilo played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen conceded 1 set, while Alejandro Tabilo conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Michelsen and Tabilo have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Michelsen played 1 game more than Tabilo. The American scored 83 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean blasted 80 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Michelsen Tabilo
Aces 17 17
Avg per match 8.5 8.5
1st in 102/149 106/150
%1st in 68% 71%
1st pts 83/102 80/106
%1st pts 81% 75%
2nd pts 25/47 26/44
%2nd pts 53% 59%

Michelsen recorded 17 aces (8.5 per match). Tabilo scored 17 aces (8.5 per match). Michelsen won 81% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Tabilo won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Michelsen Tabilo
Won 7 6
Converted 7/15 6/12
% Converted 47% 50%
Conceded 11 2
Saved 10 2
% Saved 91% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Alex lost his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Tabilo broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chilean was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Michelsen
R1
Bellucci
R2
Norrie
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 7-5 6-74 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 15 35 50
pts 58-35 112-97 170-132
Total points 93 209 302
Winners 34 49 83
%Winners 59% 44% 49%
SERVE
Aces 8 9 17
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 41/52 61/97 102/149
% 1st in 79% 63% 68%
1st pts 34/41 49/61 83/102
% 1st pts 83% 80% 81%
2nd pts 2/11 23/36 25/47
% 2nd pts 18% 64% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/5 3/10 7/15
Converted % 80% 30% 47%
Conceded 6 5 11
Saved 6/6 4/5 10
Saved % 100% 80% 90%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Tabilo
R1
Comesana
R2
Rublev
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-75 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 31 49
pts 63-49 96-92 159-141
Total points 112 188 300
Winners 31 49 80
%Winners 49% 51% 50%
SERVE
Aces 5 12 17
Double Faults 0 5 5
1st in 42/58 64/92 106/150
% 1st in 72% 70% 71%
1st pts 31/42 49/64 80/106
% 1st pts 74% 77% 75%
2nd pts 10/16 16/28 26/44
% 2nd pts 63% 57% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/5 3/7 6/12
Converted % 60% 43% 50%
Conceded 2 0 2
Saved 2/2 0/0 2
Saved % 100% – 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Michelsen
WWWWWWWWWW
Tabilo
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
35 - 20
36 - 25
25-10
Hard
12-10
1-1
I Hard
0-0
6-7
Clay
24-12
3-2
Grass
0-3

Tennis Scores in Miami

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw