H2H, prediction of Toby Samuel vs Daniel Rincon in Hersonissos 1 Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 4th March 2026

PREVIEW. Hersonissos 1 Challenger. Samuel and Rincon will play each other in the 2nd round of the Hersonissos 1 Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Wednesday the 4th of March

Prediction and head to head Toby Samuel vs. Daniel Rincon

Toby Samuel and Daniel Rincon will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Hersonissos 1 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:30 am on Court 17. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Toby Samuel who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Toby Samuel is the pick to win this match.
Toby Samuel -> 1.42
Daniel Rincon -> 2.61

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Bonus

Prediction and head to head Toby Samuel vs. Daniel Rincon

This will be the 2nd time that Toby Samuel and Daniel Rincon play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Samuel (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Samuel won 7-5 6-0 in the 1st round in the Tenerife 2 Challenger back in February 2026.

Toby Samuel

Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel

12 - 4win/loss

Hard
9-3
I Hard
3-1
Rank
98
High
95
WWLWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 44-16 29-5 7-5 3-1 5-5 0-0
2025 57-16 49-11 3-1 5-4 0-0 0-0
2024 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 24-14 10-4 0-0 8-6 6-4 0-0
2022 20-5 7-1 0-0 5-1 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 244, Samuel got to the 2nd round after defeating Raul Brancaccio 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Brit defeated Brancaccio (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Samuel scored 94 points vs Brancaccio’s 80. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Samuel made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Toby Samuel lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Samuel put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (35/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 75% (21/28) on the 2nd serve. Samuel broke Brancaccio 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Samuel has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 74% of his matches (114-41). 8-3 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Samuel has an aggregate76-20 record in the last 6 years on hard.

Toby’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Vale do Lobo.

The Brit has a composed 11-4 win-loss record in 2026, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Hersonissos 1 Challenger

Samuel has never competed in this tournament before.

Samuel
Hersonissos 1 Challenger
Samuel's Record

Daniel Rincon

Daniel Rincon
Daniel Rincon

3 - 5win/loss

Hard
3-4
I Hard
0-1
Rank
257
High
181
WLLWLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 35-25 9-9 25-14 1-2 0-0 0-0
2025 32-28 8-2 15-21 9-4 0-1 0-0
2024 29-28 3-7 25-19 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 50-30 19-7 31-18 0-2 0-3 0-0
2022 47-29 6-10 31-16 10-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 303, the Spaniard reached the 2nd round after beating Viktor Durasovic 6-3 6-1.

In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Durasovic (6-3 6-1). During the match Rincon scored 59 points vs Durasovic’s 35. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Rincon scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daniel Rincon was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (23/29) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Daniel broke Durasovic 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Daniel has a compiled 3-4 win-loss record in 2026, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Rincon
Hersonissos 1 Challenger
Rincon's Record
Bonus
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

T.Samuel
D.Rincon
1h:56
1h:56
Time on court​
1h:21
1h:21
1h:56
1h:56
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
1
1
Match played
1
1
28
28
Games Played​
16
16
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
94
94
Total points​
59
59
94
94
Avg point​
59
59
35
35
Winners
23
23
35
35
Avg Winners​
23
23
37%
37%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
1
1
2
2
Avg Aces
1
1
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2
2
35/54
35/54
1st won total​
23/29
23/29
65%
65%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
21/28
21/28
2nd won total​
9/17
9/17
!
75%
75%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
4/10
4/10
BP won
5/10
5/10
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
5/10
5/10
40%
40%
Won
50%
50%
5
5
Conceded
3
3
5
5
Avg Conceded
3
3
2
2
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Samuel Rincon
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 28 16
Pts 94-80 59-35
Total Points 174 94
Winners 35 23
%Winners 37% 39%

Both Samuel and Rincon played 1 match. At the moment, Toby Samuel lost 1 set while Daniel Rincon hasn’t lost a set so far. Samuel has played 1 set more than Rincon (3 vs 2). Therefore, Samuel played 12 games more than Rincon. Toby scored 35 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rincon recorded 23 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Samuel Rincon
Aces 2 1
Avg per match 2 1
1st in 54/82 29/46
%1st in 66% 63%
1st pts 35/54 23/29
%1st pts 65% 79%
2nd pts 21/28 9/17
%2nd pts 75% 53%

Samuel managed to score 2 aces . Rincon bagged 1 ace . Samuel won 65% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Rincon won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Samuel Rincon
Won 4 5
Converted 4/10 5/10
% Converted 40% 50%
Conceded 5 3
Saved 3 2
% Saved 60% 67%
Times Broken 2 1

The Brit broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Toby conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Samuel
R1
Brancaccio
Total
Score 6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 94-80 94-80
Total points 174 174
Winners 35 35
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 54/82 54/82
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 35/54 35/54
% 1st pts 65% 65%
2nd pts 21/28 21/28
% 2nd pts 75% 75%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/10 4/10
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2
Rincon
R1
Durasovic
Total
Score 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 59-35 59-35
Total points 94 94
Winners 23 23
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 29/46 29/46
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 23/29 23/29
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 9/17 9/17
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Samuel
WWWWWWWWWW
Rincon
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
43 - 16
35 - 25
28-5
Hard
9-9
3-1
I Hard
1-2
7-5
Clay
25-14
5-5
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Hersonissos 1 Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw