Luka Mikrut and Stefano Napolitano will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Kigali 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luka Mikrut who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luka Mikrut is the pick to win this match.
Luka Mikrut -> 1.55
Stefano Napolitano -> 2.26
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Luka Mikrut vs. Stefano Napolitano
There is no head to head record between Luka Mikrut and Stefano Napolitano since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Luka Mikrut
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17-10 | 3-5 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 57-20 | 4-3 | 52-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-26 | 5-4 | 31-19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-18 | 5-3 | 28-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-14 | 9-2 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 165, Luka got to the 2nd round after defeating Jonas Forejtek 6-3 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Mikrut had a good straight sets win against Forejtek (6-3 7-65). During the match, Mikrut scored 79 points vs Forejtek’s 59. Luka was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mikrut blasted 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Luka Mikrut was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mikrut broke Forejtek twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Mikrut has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (146-89). 1-0 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mikrut has a compiled119-67 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Mikrut has a composed 3-4 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 1 Challenger
The Croatian has never competed in this tournament before.
Stefano Napolitano
10 - 3win/loss
284
121
LWLLLLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-21 | 7-6 | 16-13 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 19-19 | 2-5 | 12-10 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 10-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-23 | 9-6 | 38-13 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-24 | 1-1 | 20-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 422, the Italian got to the 2nd round after defeating Dillon Beckles 6-0 6-1, Maximilian Neuchrist 7-5 7-6(4) and Corentin Denolly 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Napolitano had a good straight sets win against Denolly (6-3 6-4). During the match Napolitano scored 68 points vs Denolly’s 55. Stefano was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Napolitano blasted 4 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Stefano Napolitano was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Napolitano broke Denolly twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Stefano’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Oberhaching.
Napolitano has a compiled 10-3 win-loss record in 2026, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mikrut | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 57 |
| Pts | 79-59 | 198-141 |
| Total Points | 138 | 339 |
| Winners | 34 | 79 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Mikrut played 1 match while Napolitano competed in 3 matches. Napolitano started his run from the qualifications while Mikrut had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Mikrut has played 4 set(s) less than Napolitano (2 vs 6). Therefore, Mikrut played 35 games less than Napolitano. Luka scored 34 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Stefano blasted 79 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mikrut | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 5 |
| 1st in | 42/66 | 93/155 |
| %1st in | 64% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 79/93 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 41/62 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 66% |
Mikrut managed to score 11 aces . Napolitano recorded 15 aces (5 per match). Mikrut won 81% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Napolitano won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mikrut | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 9 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 9/23 |
| % Converted | 40% | 39% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Mikrut broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Mikrut surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Stefano broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Mikrut | |||
| R1 Forejtek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 79-59 | 79-59 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 42/66 | 42/66 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 34/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 17/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Napolitano | |||||
| Q1 Beckles |
Q3 Neuchrist |
R1 Denolly |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 7-5 7-64 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 25 | 19 | 57 | |
| pts | 53-18 | 77-68 | 68-55 | 198-141 | |
| Total points | 71 | 145 | 123 | 339 | |
| Winners | 16 | 36 | 27 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 47% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 17/28 | 42/67 | 34/60 | 93/155 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 63% | 57% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 16/17 | 36/42 | 27/34 | 79/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 86% | 79% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 17/25 | 16/26 | 41/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 68% | 62% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 1/6 | 2/8 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 17% | 25% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 100% | 200% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Kigali 1 Challenger
- Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly – Cesar BouchelaghemBouchelaghem (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Michiel De KromDe Krom – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (5-7 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Sandro KoppKopp – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ryan NijboerNijboer – Max HoukesHoukes (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Mathys ErhardErhard (7-65 7-61) – See score progression
- Jerome KymKym – Samuele PieriPieri (6-73 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Sean CueninCuenin (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Jay ClarkeClarke (7-65 3-6 7-615) – See score progression
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Corentin DenollyDenolly (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur GeaGea – Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Andrej MartinMartin (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Florent BaxBax – Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Garrett JohnsJohns (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Aziz OuakaaOuakaa (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Luka MikrutMikrut – Jonas ForejtekForejtek (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Mathys ErhardErhard (7-6(5) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Sean CueninCuenin (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Michiel De KromDe Krom – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (5-7 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jerome KymKym – Samuele PieriPieri (6-7(3) 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly – Cesar BouchelaghemBouchelaghem (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Arthur GeaGea – Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle (6-3 7-6(4)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Florent BaxBax (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Ryan NijboerNijboer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sandro KoppKopp – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Michiel De KromDe Krom – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
