Daniil Medvedev and Tallon Griekspoor will square off in the final of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.26
Tallon Griekspoor -> 3.84
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Tallon Griekspoor
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Tallon Griekspoor fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Griekspoor (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Griekspoor won 2-6 7-6(7) 7-5 in the quarter in Dubai back in 2025.
Highlights Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniil Medvedev – Dubai 27-February-2025
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39-16 | 28-8 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Medvedev got to the final after defeating Juncheng Shang 6-1 6-3, Stan Wawrinka 6-2 6-3, Jenson Brooksby 6-2 6-1 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-4 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 64 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 43. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was extremely efficient on serve to win 88% (23/26) of his 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Medvedev broke Auger-Aliassime 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points he played.
ATP Dubai - Daniil Medvedev's projected path
Medvedev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (442-181). 13-2 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a compiled 241-76 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where he overcame Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 7-6(1).
Daniil has an aggregate 13-3 win-loss record in 2026, 13-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Tallon Griekspoor
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15-21 | 7-9 | 3-7 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-24 | 10-11 | 13-8 | 5-4 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-30 | 10-11 | 8-8 | 11-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 14-10 | 3-5 | 12-7 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-27 | 5-6 | 12-6 | 4-11 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the Dutch got to the final after beating Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-4, Alexander Bublik 6-3 7-6(4), Jakub Mensik 6-3 3-6 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 7-5 7-6(6).
In the semifinal, Griekspoor had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-5 7-66). During the match Griekspoor and Rublev scored the same amount of points (76). However, the world no. 11 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Dutch was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Griekspoor struck 19 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tallon Griekspoor was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (42/57) of his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tallon was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Rublev once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Griekspoor has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Dubai - Tallon Griekspoor's projected path
The Dutch’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
The Dutch has a composed 7-6 win-loss record in 2026, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2025. See his history.
//
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 92 |
| Pts | 243-159 | 287-238 |
| Total Points | 402 | 525 |
| Winners | 103 | 139 |
| %Winners | 42% | 48% |
Both Medvedev and Griekspoor played 4 matches. At the moment, Tallon Griekspoor lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Griekspoor (8 vs 9). Therefore, Medvedev played 26 games less than Griekspoor. The Russian scored 103 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Griekspoor bagged 139 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 45 |
| Avg per match | 7.8 | 11.3 |
| 1st in | 129/177 | 173/271 |
| %1st in | 73% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 103/129 | 139/173 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 26/48 | 64/98 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 65% |
Medvedev made 31 aces (7.8 per match). Griekspoor fired 45 aces (11.3 per match). Medvedev won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Griekspoor won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 7 |
| Converted | 18/32 | 7/9 |
| % Converted | 56% | 78% |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 67% | 90% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Griekspoor broke his opponents 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||||
| R1 Shang |
R2 Wawrinka |
1/4 Brooksby |
1/2 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 66 | |
| pts | 59-38 | 64-46 | 56-32 | 64-43 | 243-159 | |
| Total points | 97 | 110 | 88 | 107 | 402 | |
| Winners | 29 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 38% | 48% | 36% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/49 | 32/43 | 35/42 | 26/43 | 129/177 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 74% | 83% | 60% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 24/32 | 27/35 | 23/26 | 103/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 75% | 77% | 88% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 3/11 | 4/7 | 13/17 | 26/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 27% | 57% | 76% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 6/12 | 5/11 | 3/4 | 18/32 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 50% | 45% | 75% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | – | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Griekspoor | ||||||
| R1 Virtanen |
R2 Bublik |
1/4 Mensik |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 | 6-3 3-6 6-2 | 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 92 | |
| pts | 64-45 | 71-54 | 76-63 | 76-76 | 287-238 | |
| Total points | 109 | 125 | 139 | 152 | 525 | |
| Winners | 28 | 35 | 34 | 42 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 49% | 45% | 55% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 14 | 6 | 19 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 35/59 | 40/61 | 41/69 | 57/82 | 173/271 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 66% | 59% | 70% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 35/40 | 34/41 | 42/57 | 139/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 88% | 83% | 74% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/24 | 15/21 | 16/28 | 17/25 | 64/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 71% | 57% | 68% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 1/3 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 6/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 0% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
