Luka Mikrut and Alejandro Moro Canas will face off in the quarter of the Monastir Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Moro Canas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Moro Canas is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 1.82
Luka Mikrut -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Luka Mikrut vs. Alejandro Moro Canas
This will be the 3rd time that Luka Mikrut and Alejandro Moro Canas play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Mikrut (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Mikrut won 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in the Valencia Challenger back in October 2025.
Luka Mikrut
57 - 18win/loss
162
159
LLWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 57-20 | 4-3 | 52-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-26 | 5-4 | 31-19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-18 | 5-3 | 28-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-14 | 9-2 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 160, the Croatian got to the quarter after beating Corentin Denolly 6-0 6-1 and Christoph Negritu 5-7 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Negritu, Mikrut recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 7-5). During the match, Mikrut scored 112 points vs Negritu’s 106. Luka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mikrut blasted 16 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Luka Mikrut lost the serve twice and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Mikrut put 60% of his first serves in, winning 81% (56/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (21/46) on the 2nd serve. Luka broke Negritu 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luka has conceded 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Mikrut has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (143-83). 4-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mikrut has a composed23-11 record in the last 5 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Como Challenger where he beat Duje Ajdukovic in the final 6-3 7-5 and the Braga Challenger where he beat Vilius Gaubas in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Croatian has an overall 57-18 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Monastir Challenger
The Croatian has never competed in this tournament before.
Alejandro Moro Canas
37 - 32win/loss
238
142
LWWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-34 | 19-11 | 19-19 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-28 | 11-8 | 17-13 | 3-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-31 | 17-11 | 17-15 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-18 | 20-8 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-16 | 30-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 245, the Spaniard got to the quarter after defeating Giles Hussey 6-4 7-5 and Adrian Andreev 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Andreev (6-2 6-1). During the match Moro scored 55 points vs Andreev’s 31. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Moro made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Moro put 57% of his first serves in, winning 70% (19/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. Moro broke Andreev 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
Moro has a compiled 37-32 win-loss record in 2025, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mikrut | Moro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 37 |
| Pts | 169-133 | 123-87 |
| Total Points | 302 | 210 |
| Winners | 78 | 42 |
| %Winners | 46% | 34% |
Both Mikrut and Moro played 2 matches. At the moment, Luka Mikrut surrendered 1 set while Alejandro Moro Canas hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mikrut has played 1 set more than Moro (5 vs 4). Therefore, Mikrut played 10 games more than Moro. Mikrut scored 78 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro managed to score 42 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mikrut | Moro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 92/150 | 59/105 |
| %1st in | 61% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 78/92 | 42/59 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 27/58 | 30/46 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 65% |
Mikrut made 17 aces (8.5 per match). Moro managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Mikrut won 85% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Moro won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mikrut | Moro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/24 | 9/15 |
| % Converted | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Saved | 11 | 3 |
| % Saved | 85% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Croatian broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Luka dropped his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mikrut | ||||
| R1 Denolly |
R2 Negritu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 5-7 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 34 | 47 | |
| pts | 57-27 | 112-106 | 169-133 | |
| Total points | 84 | 218 | 302 | |
| Winners | 22 | 56 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 50% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 16 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 23/35 | 69/115 | 92/150 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 60% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 22/23 | 56/69 | 78/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 81% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 21/46 | 27/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 46% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/12 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 25% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 11/13 | 11 | |
| Saved % | – | 85% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Moro | ||||
| R1 Hussey |
R2 Andreev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 37 | |
| pts | 68-56 | 55-31 | 123-87 | |
| Total points | 124 | 86 | 210 | |
| Winners | 23 | 19 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/58 | 27/47 | 59/105 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 57% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 19/27 | 42/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 70% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 13/20 | 30/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/8 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 63% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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