Alexander Bublik and Francisco Cerundolo will face off in the 2nd round of the Erste Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on #GLAUBANDICH COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.66
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Francisco Cerundolo
This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Bublik and Francisco Cerundolo play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Cerundolo won 7-6(1) 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in January 2025.
Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublik – Australian Open 14-January-2025
Alexander Bublik
43 - 21win/loss
11
11
LLWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Alexander got to the 2nd round after beating Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Tabilo (6-4 6-4). During the match, Bublik scored 60 points vs Tabilo’s 50. Alexander was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bublik blasted 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alexander Bublik was very effective on serve to win 91% (31/34) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Tabilo twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Bublik has winning record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (364-263). 3-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bublik has an aggregate 102-60 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Turin Challenger where he overcame Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he overcame Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he overcame Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Hangzhou where he defeated Valentin Royer in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(4).
Alexander has an overall 43-21 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Francisco Cerundolo
36 - 22win/loss
21
18
LLWWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-25 | 12-8 | 21-11 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Cerundolo reached the 2nd round after defeating Alex Michelsen 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Cerundolo had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (6-3 6-1). During the match Cerundolo scored 61 points vs Michelsen’s 40. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Cerundolo couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Francisco Cerundolo was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Michelsen 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Cerundolo’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Buenos Aires.
Francisco has a composed 36-22 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 |
| Pts | 60-50 | 61-40 |
| Total Points | 110 | 101 |
| Winners | 31 | 24 |
| %Winners | 52% | 39% |
Both Bublik and Cerundolo played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bublik and Cerundolo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Bublik played 4 games more than Cerundolo. The Kazakhstani scored 31 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Francisco fired 24 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 0 |
| 1st in | 34/54 | 30/50 |
| %1st in | 63% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 31/34 | 24/30 |
| %1st pts | 91% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 55% |
Bublik blasted 12 aces . Cerundolo didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Bublik won 91% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 40% | 67% |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Bublik broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Alexander pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. Cerundolo broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Francisco was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Bublik | |||
| R1 Tabilo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 60-50 | 60-50 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/54 | 34/54 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 31/34 | 31/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Cerundolo | |||
| R1 Michelsen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 61-40 | 61-40 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 30/50 | 30/50 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 24/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWWL
LLWWLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Vienna
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-64 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Corentin MoutetMoutet (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexander BublikBublik (1-0) – H2H and prediction
