Cameron Norrie and Learner Tien will face off in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:00 pm on GRANDSTAND 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Learner Tien who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Learner Tien is the pick to win this match.
Learner Tien -> 1.81
Cameron Norrie -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Learner Tien
This will be the 3rd time that Cameron Norrie and Learner Tien clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Norrie and Tien (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Tien won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the 1st round in Acapulco back in February 2025.
Cameron Norrie
32 - 25win/loss
27
8
LWWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-29 | 11-15 | 14-7 | 10-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Cameron got to the 3rd round after defeating Arthur Cazaux 6-3 0-6 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round, The Brit defeated Cazaux (6-3 0-6 7-65).During the match, Norrie scored less points (2) than Cazaux. In fact, the world no. 33 won 75 points vs Cazaux’s. That means that Norrie was more focused during the important points. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Norrie scored just 1 ace and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Cameron Norrie was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (34/45) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Cameron broke Cazaux twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Norrie has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (344-223). 11-14 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Norrie has an aggregate 190-103 record in the last years on hard.
The Brit’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Geneva.
Norrie has an overall 32-25 win-loss record in 2025, 11-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Learner Tien
32 - 23win/loss
28
28
WWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-25 | 26-13 | 3-7 | 6-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 63-14 | 53-8 | 0-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-10 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 10-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Learner got to the 3rd round after defeating Miomir Kecmanovic 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Corentin Moutet 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Moutet, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Tien and Moutet scored the same amount of points (91). However, the world no. 33 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Tien was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Tien scored 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Learner Tien lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Tien put 67% of his first serves in, winning 61% (33/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Moutet 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Learner’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Beijing.
Tien has an aggregate 32-23 win-loss record in 2025, 25-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 59 |
| Pts | 75-77 | 187-174 |
| Total Points | 152 | 361 |
| Winners | 34 | 73 |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% |
Norrie played 1 match while Tien competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cameron Norrie conceded 1 set, while Learner Tien dropped 2 sets. Norrie has played 3 set(s) less than Tien (3 vs 6). Therefore, Norrie played 31 games less than Tien. Norrie scored 34 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Learner bagged 73 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 45/68 | 104/165 |
| %1st in | 66% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 73/104 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 33/61 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 54% |
Norrie scored 1 ace . Tien also bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Norrie won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 9 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 40% | 43% |
| Conceded | 3 | 14 |
| Saved | 0 | 7 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Norrie broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Cameron surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Learner conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||
| R2 Cazaux |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 0-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 75-77 | 75-77 | |
| Total points | 152 | 152 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 45/68 | 45/68 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 34/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Tien | ||||
| R1 Kecmanovic |
R2 Moutet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 30 | 59 | |
| pts | 96-83 | 91-91 | 187-174 | |
| Total points | 179 | 182 | 361 | |
| Winners | 40 | 33 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/84 | 54/81 | 104/165 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 33/54 | 73/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 61% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 14/27 | 33/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 52% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 6/12 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 29% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWLW
WWWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – David GoffinGoffin (3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(1) 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Alexander ZverevZverev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zizou BergsBergs (3-0) – H2H and prediction
