Luca Potenza and Maks Kasnikowski will square off in the qualifications of the Villena Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on PISTA 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maks Kasnikowski who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maks Kasnikowski is the pick to win this match.
Maks Kasnikowski -> 1.76
Luca Potenza -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Luca Potenza vs. Maks Kasnikowski
There is no head to head record between Luca Potenza and Maks Kasnikowski since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Luca Potenza
52 - 26win/loss
363
357
LLWWLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-32 | 53-26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-17 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-25 | 27-13 | 6-7 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 399 (career-high), Potenza reached the qualifications after defeating Anas Mazdrashki 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Mazdrashki (6-4 6-4). During the match, Potenza scored 61 points vs Mazdrashki’s 51. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Potenza scored just 1 ace and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Potenza was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (23/30) of his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Luca broke Mazdrashki twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Potenza has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (215-145). 49-22 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Potenza has an overall151-75 record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Italian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
The Italian has an overall 52-26 win-loss record in 2025, 49-22 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Villena Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Maks Kasnikowski
16 - 11win/loss
412
168
LLWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-16 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-28 | 6-8 | 22-13 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 13-6 | 22-14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-19 | 16-7 | 20-10 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-11 | 7-5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 547, the Pole reached the qualifications after defeating Enrique Carrascosa Diaz 3-6 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications against Carrascosa Diaz, Kasnikowski recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Kasnikowski scored 84 points vs Carrascosa Diaz’s 68. Maks was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Kasnikowski bagged 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Maks Kasnikowski lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kasnikowski put 64% of his first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Maks broke Carrascosa Diaz 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Kasnikowski’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Koszalin.
Maks has an aggregate 16-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Potenza | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 24 |
| Pts | 61-51 | 84-68 |
| Total Points | 112 | 152 |
| Winners | 23 | 33 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Potenza and Kasnikowski played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Maks Kasnikowski conceded 1 set while Luca Potenza hasn’t dropped a set so far. Potenza has played 1 set(s) less than Kasnikowski (2 vs 3). Therefore, Potenza played 4 games less than Kasnikowski. Potenza scored 23 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Maks made 33 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Potenza | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6 |
| 1st in | 30/54 | 46/72 |
| %1st in | 56% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 33/46 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 12/26 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 46% |
Potenza made 1 ace . Kasnikowski also made 6 aces . Potenza won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Kasnikowski won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Potenza | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 6 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 29% | 60% |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Potenza broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Luca pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Kasnikowski broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Maks conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Potenza | |||
| Q1 Mazdrashki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 61-51 | 61-51 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 30/54 | 30/54 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 23/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 17/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kasnikowski | |||
| Q1 Carrascosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 84-68 | 84-68 | |
| Total points | 152 | 152 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 46/72 | 46/72 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 33/46 | 33/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 12/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWLW
LLWWWWWWWW 
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