Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari will face off in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.16
Maria Sakkari -> 5.25
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 6th time that Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Rybakina won 6-4 6-3 in the R in Australia back in 2024.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Maria Sakkari – Australia 30-December-2024
Elena Rybakina
30 - 12win/loss
5
3
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Elena got to the 2nd round after defeating Elina Avanesyan 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Avanesyan (6-2 6-1). During the match, Rybakina scored 63 points vs Avanesyan’s 41. Elena was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina blasted 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was quite effective on serve to win 74% (23/31) of her 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Elena broke Avanesyan 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Rybakina has a good record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (355-153). 4-2 on grass in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a compiled 37-13 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.
Elena has an aggregate 30-12 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Maria Sakkari
16 - 19win/loss
52
3
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 14-19 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 12-8 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, the Greek got to the 2nd round after defeating Anna Blinkova 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Maria had a good straight sets win against Blinkova (6-4 6-4). During the match Sakkari scored 65 points vs Blinkova’s 52. Maria was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Sakkari struck 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 53% of her first serves in, winning 70% (21/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. Sakkari broke Blinkova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Maria has an aggregate 16-19 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017, 2019, 2022 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 |
| Pts | 63-41 | 65-52 |
| Total Points | 104 | 117 |
| Winners | 23 | 21 |
| %Winners | 37% | 32% |
Both Rybakina and Sakkari played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Sakkari have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rybakina played 5 games less than Sakkari. The Kazakhstani scored 23 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Greek managed to score 21 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 31/66 | 30/57 |
| %1st in | 47% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 21/30 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 14/27 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 52% |
Rybakina blasted 3 aces . Sakkari scored 3 aces . Rybakina won 74% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 83% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Saved | 8 | 1 |
| % Saved | 89% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Rybakina broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve once and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded. Maria broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Greek conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 25% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R1 Avanesyan | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 63-41 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/66 | 31/66 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 23/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 18/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Sakkari | |||
| R1 Blinkova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 65-52 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 30/57 | 30/57 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 21/30 | 21/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 14/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
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