Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Gonzalo Bueno will square off in the quarter of the Lima 1 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the pick to win this match.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 1.51
Gonzalo Bueno -> 2.42

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Prediction and head to head Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs. Gonzalo Bueno

This will be the 2nd time that Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Gonzalo Bueno square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bueno (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Bueno won 6-7(7) 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in the Verona Challenger back in 2024.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

21 - 12win/loss

Clay
21-11
Rank
287
High
190
LWWLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-12 0-0 21-11 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 38-27 0-1 38-26 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 20-25 1-3 19-22 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 29-29 1-3 27-24 0-0 1-2 0-0
2021 72-29 0-0 72-29 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 287, Pucinelli De Almeida got to the quarter after defeating Peter Bertran 6-1 6-2 and Gonzalo Villanueva 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Matheus had a good straight sets win against Villanueva (6-1 6-4). During the match, Pucinelli De Almeida scored 66 points vs Villanueva’s 46. The Brazilian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pucinelli De Almeida bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 75% of his first serves in, winning 62% (26/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the 2nd serve. Pucinelli De Almeida broke Villanueva 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pucinelli De Almeida hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points he played.

Pucinelli De Almeida has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (225-152). 21-10 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pucinelli De Almeida has an overall203-131 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

Matheus’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Santos Challenger.

The Brazilian has an overall 21-11 win-loss record in 2025, 21-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lima 1 Challenger

Lima 1 Challenger
Pucinelli De Almeida's Record

Gonzalo Bueno

Gonzalo Bueno

20 - 15win/loss

Clay
20-15
Rank
286
High
235
LWWWWLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-16 0-0 21-16 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 35-31 0-2 35-28 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 40-28 2-1 38-27 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 20-14 0-0 20-14 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 3-5 0-0 3-5 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 309, the Peruvian reached the quarter after defeating Guido Ivan Justo 6-0 6-4

and Hernan Casanova 6-2 2-0 ret..

In the 2nd round against Casanova, the Peruvian had a free pass after Casanova retired on a 6-2 2-0 . scoreline.

The Peruvian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Buenos Aires Challenger.

The Peruvian has an overall 19-15 win-loss record in 2025, 19-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lima 1 Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history

.
Lima 1 Challenger
Bueno's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Pucinelli Almeida
G.Bueno
2h:59
2h:59
Time on court​
2h:08
2h:08
1h:30
1h:30
Last match​
!
0h:48
0h:48
2
2
Match played
2
2
32
32
Games Played​
26
26
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
134
134
Total points​
101
101
67
67
Avg point​
50.5
50.5
53
53
Winners
48
48
26.5
26.5
Avg Winners​
24
24
40%
40%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
1
1
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
5
5
Double Faults
1
1
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
0.5
0.5
53/77
53/77
1st won total​
48/72
48/72
69%
69%
1st won %
67%
67%
18/34
18/34
2nd won total​
7/18
7/18
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
39%
39%
-- Break Points --
10/21
10/21
BP won
10/13
10/13
5/10.5
5/10.5
Avg BP won
5/6.5
5/6.5
48%
48%
Won
!
77%
77%
9
9
Conceded
7
7
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
3
3
Broken
3
3
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
6
6
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pucinelli De Almeida Bueno
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 32 26
Pts 134-91 101-62
Total Points 225 163
Winners 53 48
%Winners 40% 48%

Both Pucinelli De Almeida and Bueno played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Pucinelli De Almeida has played 1 set(s) less than Bueno (4 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Pucinelli De Almeida played 6 games more than Bueno. The Brazilian scored 53 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Bueno bagged 48 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pucinelli De Almeida Bueno
Aces 3 1
Avg per match 1.5 0.5
1st in 77/111 72/90
%1st in 69% 80%
1st pts 53/77 48/72
%1st pts 69% 67%
2nd pts 18/34 7/18
%2nd pts 53% 39%

Pucinelli De Almeida fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Bueno bagged 1 ace (0.5 per match). Pucinelli De Almeida won 69% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Bueno won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pucinelli De Almeida Bueno
Won 10 10
Converted 10/21 10/13
% Converted 48% 77%
Conceded 9 7
Saved 6 4
% Saved 67% 57%
Times Broken 3 3

Pucinelli De Almeida broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Pucinelli De Almeida lost his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Gonzalo broke his opponents 10 times with a 77% conversion rate. Bueno conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Pucinelli De Almeida
R1
Bertran
R2
Villanueva
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 17 32
pts 68-45 66-46 134-91
Total points 113 112 225
Winners 27 26 53
%Winners 40% 39% 40%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 35/55 42/56 77/111
% 1st in 64% 75% 69%
1st pts 27/35 26/42 53/77
% 1st pts 77% 62% 69%
2nd pts 9/20 9/14 18/34
% 2nd pts 45% 64% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/11 5/10 10/21
Converted % 45% 50% 48%
Conceded 6 3 9
Saved 5/6 1/3 6
Saved % 83% 33% 58%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Bueno
R1
Ivan
R2
Casanova
Total
Score 6-0 6-4 6-2 2-0 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 10 26
pts 62-40 39-22 101-62
Total points 102 61 163
Winners 29 19 48
%Winners 47% 49% 48%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 1
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 46/56 26/34 72/90
% 1st in 82% 76% 80%
1st pts 29/46 19/26 48/72
% 1st pts 63% 73% 67%
2nd pts 5/10 2/8 7/18
% 2nd pts 50% 25% 39%
Breaks
Won 6 4 10
Converted 6/7 4/6 10/13
Converted % 86% 67% 77%
Conceded 5 2 7
Saved 3/5 1/2 4
Saved % 60% 50% 55%
Times Broken 2 1 3

Upcoming matches in the draw