Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Lautaro Midon will face off in the quarter of the Santos Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the pick to win this match.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 1.57
Lautaro Midon -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs. Lautaro Midon

This will be the 2^nd time that Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Lautaro Midon face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pucinelli De Almeida (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-1 6-2 in the quarter in the Porto Alegre Challenger back in May 2025.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Ranked no. 306, matheus reached the quarter after defeating Eduardo Ribeiro 6-7(4) 6-2 6-0 and Nicolas Alvarez Varona 6-1 4-6 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Matheus defeated Alvarez Varona (6-1 4-6 6-1). During the match, Pucinelli De Almeida scored 100 points vs Alvarez Varona’s 83. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pucinelli De Almeida managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 53% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (23/46) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Alvarez Varona 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Matheus has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Pucinelli De Almeida has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (219-150). 15-8 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Pucinelli De Almeida has an overall197-129 record in the last 9 years on clay.

Pucinelli De Almeida’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Asuncion Challenger and the Porto Alegre Challenger.

Matheus has an overall 15-9 win-loss record in 2025, 15-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santos Challenger

Matheus has never competed in this tournament before.

Lautaro Midon

Ranked no. 316, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo 6-4 6-2 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-4 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Alberto Olivieri (6-4 7-5). During the match Midon scored 81 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 68. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Midon recorded 3 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lautaro Midon lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Midon put 69% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. Midon broke Alberto Olivieri 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Midon’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Yerba Buena and M25 Lujan.

Midon has a compiled 25-10 win-loss record in 2025, 25-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pucinelli De Almeida	Midon
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	4
Tot Games	51	40
Pts	192-159	145-115
Total Points	351	260
Winners	75	60
%Winners	39%	41%

Both Pucinelli De Almeida and Midon played 2 matches. At the moment, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida conceded 2 sets while Lautaro Midon hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pucinelli De Almeida has played 2 sets more than Midon (6 vs 4). Therefore, Pucinelli De Almeida played 11 games more than Midon. Matheus scored 75 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Midon recorded 60 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pucinelli De Almeida	Midon
Aces	7	3
Avg per match	3.5	1.5
1st in	105/182	83/136
%1st in	58%	61%
1st pts	75/105	60/83
%1st pts	71%	72%
2nd pts	38/77	30/53
%2nd pts	49%	57%

Pucinelli De Almeida recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Midon recorded 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pucinelli De Almeida won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Midon won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pucinelli De Almeida	Midon
Won	12	7
Converted	12/21	7/17
% Converted	57%	41%
Conceded	13	14
Saved	10	12
% Saved	77%	86%
Times Broken	3	2

The Brazilian broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Matheus lost his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Midon conceded his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Pucinelli De Almeida
	R1 Ribeiro	R2 Alvarez Varona	Total
Score	6-74 6-2 6-0	6-1 4-6 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	27	24	51
pts	92-76	100-83	192-159
Total points	168	183	351
Winners	41	34	75
%Winners	45%	34%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	6	7
Double Faults	5	6	11
1st in	54/85	51/97	105/182
% 1st in	64%	53%	58%
1st pts	41/54	34/51	75/105
% 1st pts	76%	67%	71%
2nd pts	15/31	23/46	38/77
% 2nd pts	48%	50%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	6	12
Converted	6/9	6/12	12/21
Converted %	67%	50%	57%
Conceded	2	11	13
Saved	1/2	9/11	10
Saved %	50%	82%	66%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Midon
	R1 Sanchez-Izquierdo	R2 Alberto	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	22	40
pts	64-47	81-68	145-115
Total points	111	149	260
Winners	23	37	60
%Winners	36%	46%	41%
SERVE
Aces	0	3	3
Double Faults	0	0	0
1st in	29/58	54/78	83/136
% 1st in	50%	69%	61%
1st pts	23/29	37/54	60/83
% 1st pts	79%	69%	72%
2nd pts	15/29	15/24	30/53
% 2nd pts	52%	63%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/8	3/9	7/17
Converted %	50%	33%	41%
Conceded	5	9	14
Saved	4/5	8/9	12
Saved %	80%	89%	85%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

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• Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Renzo OlivoOlivo (3-0) – H2H and prediction