Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Santos Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the pick to win this match.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 1.67
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 2.1

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Prediction and head to head Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona

There is no head to head record between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Alvarez Varona since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Ranked no. 306, Pucinelli De Almeida reached the 2^nd round after defeating Eduardo Ribeiro 6-7(4) 6-2 6-0.

In the 1^st round against Ribeiro, Pucinelli De Almeida recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁴ 6-2 6-0). During the match, Pucinelli De Almeida scored 92 points vs Ribeiro’s 76. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pucinelli De Almeida scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 5 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 64% of his first serves in, winning 76% (41/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Pucinelli De Almeida broke Ribeiro 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Pucinelli De Almeida has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (218-150). 14-8 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pucinelli De Almeida has an overall196-129 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

The Brazilian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Asuncion Challenger and the Porto Alegre Challenger.

Pucinelli De Almeida has an aggregate 14-9 win-loss record in 2025, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santos Challenger

Pucinelli De Almeida has never competed in this tournament before.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Ranked no. 314, the Spaniard got to the 2^nd round after defeating Gonzalo Bueno 6-4 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Bueno (6-4 6-2). During the match Alvarez Varona scored 66 points vs Bueno’s 47. Alvarez Varona was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Alvarez Varona fired 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nicolas Alvarez Varona lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alvarez Varona put 57% of his first serves in, winning 72% (23/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Bueno 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Nicolas has a composed 13-9 win-loss record in 2025, 3-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pucinelli De Almeida	Alvarez Varona
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	27	18
Pts	92-76	66-47
Total Points	168	113
Winners	41	23
%Winners	45%	35%

Both Pucinelli De Almeida and Alvarez Varona played 1 match. At the moment, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost 1 set while Nicolas Alvarez Varona hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pucinelli De Almeida has played 1 set more than Alvarez Varona (3 vs 2). Therefore, Pucinelli De Almeida played 9 games more than Alvarez Varona. Pucinelli De Almeida scored 41 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard recorded 23 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pucinelli De Almeida	Alvarez Varona
Aces	1	3
Avg per match	1	3
1st in	54/85	32/56
%1st in	64%	57%
1st pts	41/54	23/32
%1st pts	76%	72%
2nd pts	15/31	11/24
%2nd pts	48%	46%

Pucinelli De Almeida recorded 1 ace . Alvarez Varona also fired 3 aces . Pucinelli De Almeida won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez Varona won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pucinelli De Almeida	Alvarez Varona
Won	6	6
Converted	6/9	6/13
% Converted	67%	46%
Conceded	2	4
Saved	1	1
% Saved	50%	25%
Times Broken	1	3

Matheus broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Brazilian lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.

Pucinelli De Almeida
	R1 Ribeiro	Total
Score	6-74 6-2 6-0
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	92-76	92-76
Total points	168	168
Winners	41	41
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	54/85	54/85
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	41/54	41/54
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	15/31	15/31
% 2nd pts	48%	48%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/9	6/9
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Alvarez Varona
	R1 Bueno	Total
Score	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	66-47	66-47
Total points	113	113
Winners	23	23
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	32/56	32/56
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	23/32	23/32
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	11/24	11/24
% 2nd pts	46%	46%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/13	6/13
Converted %	46%	46%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	1/4	1
Saved %	25%	25%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Santos Challenger

• Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Bruno KuzuharaKuzuhara (1-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Renzo OlivoOlivo – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (5-7 7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Juan Bautista TorresBautista Torres (6-1 1-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hernan CasanovaCasanova – Nicolas KickerKicker (1-7) – H2H and prediction
• Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Matias SotoSoto – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Renzo OlivoOlivo (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias – Gianluca MagerMager (0-0) – H2H and prediction