Alex De Minaur and Grigor Dimitrov will square off in the quarter of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on COURT RAINIER III. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.56
Grigor Dimitrov -> 2.43

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Grigor Dimitrov

This will be the 6^th time that Alex De Minaur and Grigor Dimitrov clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, De Minaur won 6-4 6-3 in the semifinal in Rotterdam back in 2024.

Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Grigor Dimitrov – Rotterdam 17-February-2024

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 10, Alex reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Tomas Machac 3-6 6-0 6-3 and Daniil Medvedev 6-2 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-2 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 59 points vs Medvedev’s 39. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 14 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Minaur blasted 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 52% of his first serves in, winning 58% (14/24) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the 2nd serve. De Minaur broke Medvedev 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (378-211). 2-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has a composed 61-48 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

De Minaur’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Rotterdam.

De Minaur has a composed 19-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Grigor Dimitrov

Ranked no. 18, Dimitrov reached the quarter after beating Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-4, Valentin Vacherot 4-6 6-3 6-1 and Alejandro Tabilo 6-3 3-6 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Grigor defeated Tabilo (6-3 3-6 6-2). During the match Dimitrov scored 98 points vs Tabilo’s 76. Grigor was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Dimitrov fired 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Grigor Dimitrov was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (36/47) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Grigor broke Tabilo 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Grigor has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The Bulgarian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane and Miami.

Grigor has an overall 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018 and 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Dimitrov
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	8
Tot Games	40	71
Pts	144-109	259-207
Total Points	253	466
Winners	47	95
%Winners	33%	37%

De Minaur played 2 matches while Dimitrov competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set, while Grigor Dimitrov dropped 2 sets. De Minaur has played 3 set(s) less than Dimitrov (5 vs 8). Therefore, De Minaur played 31 games less than Dimitrov. The Australian scored 47 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov managed to score 95 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Dimitrov
Aces	6	12
Avg per match	3	4
1st in	66/126	131/222
%1st in	52%	59%
1st pts	47/66	95/131
%1st pts	71%	73%
2nd pts	32/60	44/91
%2nd pts	53%	48%

De Minaur fired 6 aces (3 per match). Dimitrov managed to score 12 aces (4 per match). De Minaur won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Dimitrov
Won	11	16
Converted	11/17	16/38
% Converted	65%	42%
Conceded	9	25
Saved	5	16
% Saved	56%	64%
Times Broken	4	9

Alex broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Bulgarian broke his opponents 16 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Bulgarian conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R2 Machac	R3 Medvedev	Total
Score	3-6 6-0 6-3	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	24	16	40
pts	85-70	59-39	144-109
Total points	155	98	253
Winners	33	14	47
%Winners	39%	24%	33%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	6
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	42/80	24/46	66/126
% 1st in	53%	52%	52%
1st pts	33/42	14/24	47/66
% 1st pts	79%	58%	71%
2nd pts	20/38	12/22	32/60
% 2nd pts	53%	55%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	7	11
Converted	4/5	7/12	11/17
Converted %	80%	58%	65%
Conceded	5	4	9
Saved	4/5	1/4	5
Saved %	80%	25%	53%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Dimitrov
	R1 Jarry	R2 Vacherot	R3 Tabilo	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	4-6 6-3 6-1	6-3 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	19	26	26	71
pts	74-64	87-67	98-76	259-207
Total points	138	154	174	466
Winners	28	31	36	95
%Winners	38%	36%	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	7	12
Double Faults	4	3	1	8
1st in	39/75	45/79	47/68	131/222
% 1st in	52%	57%	69%	59%
1st pts	28/39	31/45	36/47	95/131
% 1st pts	72%	69%	77%	73%
2nd pts	17/36	16/34	11/21	44/91
% 2nd pts	47%	47%	52%	48%
Breaks
Won	4	7	5	16
Converted	4/12	7/10	5/16	16/38
Converted %	33%	70%	31%	42%
Conceded	9	11	5	25
Saved	7/9	7/11	2/5	16
Saved %	78%	64%	40%	91%
Times Broken	2	4	3	9

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 6-7⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Andrey RublevRublev (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-5) – H2H and prediction